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退休,招聘失败改变了双方的前景

2022-02-17 10:09   美国新闻网   - 

与...的关系里克·克莱因

你可以和你现有的候选人一起竞选,而不是那些你可能得到的候选人。

这一教训适用于2022年的两党,尽管历史趋势和越来越多的共识表明民主党可能会面临艰难的中期选举。

众议院民主党人很难保持他们自己的成员人数达到历史最高水平。纽约州民主党众议员凯瑟琳·赖斯(Kathleen Rice)是第30位宣布决定不寻求连任众议院议员的民主党现任议员。这几乎是2010年该党失去众议院时下台人数(16人)的两倍。

PHOTO: Rep. Kathleen Rice speaks during a press conference, Nov. 16, 2017.

比尔·克拉克/CQ-通过盖蒂图片社点名

众议员凯瑟琳·赖斯在2017年11月16日的新闻发布会上发言。

与此同时,参议院共和党人在吸引顶级新兵参加有针对性的比赛方面一直存在问题。广受欢迎的马里兰州和马里兰州共和党州长拉里·霍根新罕布什尔州的克里斯·苏努努都通过了进入参议院竞选反对现任。

前总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)目前正在尽最大努力确保亚利桑那州州长道格·杜西(Doug Ducey)加入这一名单,尽管参议院少数党领袖米奇·麦康奈尔(Mitch McConnell)努力吸引杜西参加竞选。几个月前宣布的共和党退休也迫使共和党人努力保住宾夕法尼亚州、北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州和密苏里州的参议院席位。

这种对称非常奇特,以至于党委们实际上抄袭了彼此在这个问题上的谈话要点。民主党参议院委员会上周表示,共和党人正在放弃竞选,因为他们“知道他们无法击败强大的参议院民主党人”;全国共和党国会委员会周二表示,民主党人正在退休,“因为他们知道他们的多数注定要失败。”

这两种说法都可能是部分正确的——尽管现实总是更加复杂。

阅读越来越多的“感谢但不感谢”候选人名单的另一种方式是,无论你的政党前景如何,如今在国会任职并不那么令人满意或愉快。可以合理地假设,两党领导人都希望他们有自己无法说服的候选人参加竞选。

与...的概要亚里沙·维尔塞马

在恐怖的枪击案发生近十年后桑迪胡克小学这一里程碑式的和解标志着枪支制造商首次因美国大规模枪击事件而被追究责任。

据报道美国广播公司新闻的亚伦·卡特斯基和艾米丽·夏皮罗根据一份新的法庭文件,桑迪胡克枪击案中使用的步枪的制造商雷明顿武器公司周二同意解决在学校大屠杀中丧生的五名成人和四名儿童的家庭的赔偿责任索赔。雷明顿同意向这些家庭支付7300万美元。

在他们的诉讼中,这些家庭认为雷明顿疏忽地将“战斗武器”销售给平民消费者,并通过销售或不当营销步枪违反了康涅狄格州不公平贸易行为法。

枪支暴力预防倡导者庆祝这一里程碑,认为这是《保护合法武器贸易法》的一个可能变通办法,根据联邦法律,该法保护枪支制造商、分销商和经销商免于因使用其武器的人所犯罪行而承担民事责任。

“正如我一再呼吁的那样,国会必须废除《保护合法武器贸易法》,这样我们就能让枪支制造商和经销商完全负起责任。但是,与此同时,我将继续敦促州和地方议员、律师和枪支暴力幸存者努力复制桑迪胡克家庭的成功,”总统乔·拜登在一份声明中说。

小费拉莉·伊布萨

旧金山选民罢免了三名学校董事会成员,这是历史性的罢免选举。

初步报道显示超过70%的选民参加了周二的特别选举都赞成根据旧金山选举部的消息,学校董事会主席加布里埃拉·洛佩斯和董事会成员Faauuga Moliga和Alison Collins被召回。这使得他们成为第一批被召回的旧金山民选官员。支持罢免的旧金山市长伦敦·布瑞德(London Breed)现在负责任命新成员,直到11月举行选举。

这次召回源于家长们所说的优先考虑社会公正的原因,比如给学校重新命名,而不是学校重新开学。家长们要求在孩子的教育问题上有更多的发言权,这一举动正值全国范围内就诸如种族批判理论和种族歧视等问题展开辩论之际新冠肺炎法规把焦点放在学校董事会上,把他们变成了政治战场。

随着密歇根州、缅因州和弗吉尼亚州的学校董事会召回正在进行,周二的成功可能标志着家长在学术方面的一个转折点选择。根据Ballotpedia跟踪的数据,仅在2022年,全国就有至少25所学校董事会针对66名官员发起了召回行动。

今天的数字,由五点三十八分驱动

21。这是乔·拜登总统2021年新冠肺炎刺激计划拨款的一部分,到目前为止,各州在运营和管理方面已经花费了数十亿美元。他们还花了110亿美元在供水和下水道基础设施上,80亿美元在宽带互联网上,90亿美元在更广泛的基础设施上。但是正如FiveThirtyEight的Monica Potts所写的,各州在某些情况下也选择了非常不同的资金使用方式。阅读更多来自Monica的内容到目前为止,各州是如何使用刺激资金的。

Retirements, recruiting failures change landscape for both parties: The Note

Retirements, recruiting failures change landscape for both parties: The Note

The TAKE withRick Klein

You get to run an election with the candidates you have, not the ones you might have gotten.

That lesson holds for both parties in 2022, notwithstanding the historical trends and the growing consensus that Democrats are likely to face a rough midterm year.

House Democrats are having trouble holding on to their own members in historic numbers. Rep. Kathleen Rice, D-N.Y., is now the 30th Democratic incumbent to announce a decision not to seek reelection to the House. That's nearly twice the number (16) who stepped aside when the party lost the House in 2010.

Senate Republicans, meanwhile, are having ongoing trouble attracting top-tier recruits to targeted races. Popular Republican governors Larry Hogan of Maryland andChris Sununu of New Hampshirehave both passed on entering Senate races against incumbents.

Former President Donald Trump is currently doing his best to make sure Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey joins that list by staying out of his state's race despite efforts by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell to entice Ducey to run. GOP retirements announced months ago are also forcing Republicans to fight to retain Senate seats in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Missouri.

The symmetry is peculiar enough that the party committees have practically copied each other's talking points on the topic. The Democratic Senatorial Committee last week said Republicans are passing on races because they "know they cannot defeat strong Senate Democrats"; the National Republican Congressional Committee said Tuesday that Democrats are retiring "because they know their majority is doomed."

Both of those statements could be partially true -- though, as always, the realities are more complex.

Another way to read the growing list of thanks-but-no-thanks candidates is that serving in Congress these days isn't all that fulfilling or enjoyable, whatever your party's prospects look like. It's fair to assume leaders in both parties will wish they had candidates they couldn't convince to run.

The RUNDOWN withAlisa Wiersema

Nearly a decade after the horrific shooting atSandy Hook Elementary School, a landmark settlement marked the first time a gun manufacturer has been held accountable for a mass shooting in the United States.

As reported byABC News' Aaron Katersky and Emily Shapiro, Remington Arms -- the gunmaker of the rifle used in the Sandy Hook shooting -- agreed Tuesday to settle liability claims from the families of five adults and four children killed in the school massacre, according to a new court filing. Remington agreed to pay the families $73 million.

In their lawsuit, the families argued Remington negligently marketed a "combat weapon" to civilian consumers and in doing so violated the Connecticut Unfair Trade Practices Act through the sale or wrongful marketing of the rifle.

Gun violence prevention advocates celebrated the milestone as an example of possible workarounds to the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act, which under federal law protects gun manufacturers, distributors and dealers from civil liability for crimes committed by those using their weapons.

"As I have repeatedly called for, Congress must repeal the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act so we can fully hold gun manufacturers and dealers accountable. But, in the meantime, I will continue to urge state and local lawmakers, lawyers, and survivors of gun violence to pursue efforts to replicate the success of the Sandy Hook families," President Joe Biden said in a statement.

The TIP withLalee Ibssa

Voters in San Francisco have ousted three school board members in a historicrecall election.

Initial reporting showed over 70% of voters in Tuesday's special electionwere in favorof recalling School Board President Gabriela López and board members Faauuga Moliga and Alison Collins, according to the San Francisco Department of Elections. This makes them the first San Francisco elected officials to be recalled. San Francisco Mayor London Breed, a supporter of the recall, is now tasked with appointing new members to serve until an election is held in November.

The recall stemmed from what parents said was a prioritization of social justice causes, such as renaming schools, above school reopenings. The push from parents to have more say in their kids’ education comes as national debates over issues like critical race theory andCOVID-19 regulationshave put a spotlight on school boards, turning them into political battlegrounds.

With school board recalls underway in Michigan, Maine and Virginia, Tuesday's success could signal a turning point for parents when it comes to academicchoice. In 2022 alone, there were at least 25 school board recall efforts launched against 66 officials nationwide, according to data tracked by Ballotpedia.

NUMBER OF THE DAY, powered by FiveThirtyEight

21. That's how many billions of dollars states have spent on operation and administration so far as part of the funding allocated under President Joe Biden's 2021 COVID-19 stimulus package. They've also spent $11 billion on water and sewer infrastructure, $8 billion on broadband internet and $9 billion on infrastructure more broadly. But as FiveThirtyEight's Monica Potts writes, states have also chosen in some instances to spend the funds very differently.Read more from Monicaon how states have spent their stimulus money so far.

 

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