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随着更多经济学家表达对衰退的担忧,特朗普政府考虑削减工资税

2019-08-20 11:10  美国新闻网  -  4143

 

       尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统保证说经济比以往任何时候都好,但据报道,一些白宫助理已经开始考虑削减工资税,希望能推迟疲软的经济。

       几位助手交谈过华盛顿邮报周一,在匿名的情况下,他说关于潜在减税的讨论还处于早期阶段,只是一个关于经济的可能计划。

       用于医疗保险和社会保障的工资税目前为6.2%。自2013年以来,这一比率一直有效,当时该比率从前总统巴拉克·奥巴马2012年实施的削减恢复到6.2%。奥巴马政府要求国会将利率下调至4.2%,以刺激2012年经济衰退期间的消费者支出。
       周一上午,特朗普对经济放缓的报道提出质疑,并指责美联储主席杰伊鲍威尔“极其缺乏远见”奥巴马总统此前曾游说美联储不要降息,尽管美联储在7月下旬将利率从2%下调至2.25%。
       “我们的经济非常强劲,尽管杰伊·鲍威尔和美联储严重缺乏远见,但民主党人正试图‘将’经济变得对2020年选举不利。非常自私!我们的美元如此强劲,以至于它正在伤害世界其他地区...在相当短的时间内,美联储的利率应该至少下调100个基点,或许还会有一些量化宽松。特朗普写道:“如果这种情况发生,我们的经济将会更好,世界经济将会大大、快速地得到增强——这对每个人都有好处。”。

       根据NPR副总统迈克·彭斯在周一的一次演讲中回应了特朗普对经济的看法,他对德特洛特经济俱乐部说,“尽管主流媒体上有许多不负责任的言论,但美国经济依然强劲。美国经济前景也依然强劲。”

       然而,一个美联社周一发布的报告显示,接受美国商业经济协会调查的74%的经济学家预计美国最迟将在2021年陷入衰退。

       这项调查是在7月14日至8月1日之间进行的,34%的人表示他们认为到2021年经济将会陷入衰退。38%的人表示衰退将在2020年某个时候发生,而2%的人表示衰退将在今年发生。

Donald Trump
       2019年8月7日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在离开白宫前往俄亥俄州代顿和得克萨斯州埃尔帕索之前,在DC首都华盛顿对媒体发表了讲话。特朗普将访问这两个城市,会见上周末两起致命枪击事件后的受害者和执法人员。

       一些人担心衰退可能会让特朗普在2020年再次当选,因为总统已经将经济作为他竞选活动的中心。总统经常在集会上、媒体上以及推特上用失业率和消费者支出作为谈话的话题。

       除了将怒火指向鲍威尔之外,奥巴马总统还指责包括中国在内的其他国家反对美国及其经济利益,并表示媒体正在为衰退推波助澜。

       “假新闻媒体正在尽一切努力来搞垮经济,因为他们认为这对我和我的连任都不利。他们面临的问题是经济过于强劲,我们很快就会在贸易上大获全胜,包括中国在内的所有人都知道这一点!”,特朗普8月15日在推特上写道。

 


TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERING PAYROLL TAX CUT AS MORE ECONOMISTS EXPRESS RECESSION CONCERN

       Despite assurances from President Donald Trump that the economy is better than ever, some White House aides have reportedly begun to consider a payroll tax cut in the hope of postponing a weakening economy.

       Several aides spoke to The Washington Post Monday under the condition of anonymity, saying that the talks about a potential tax cut are in the early stages and just one possible plan regarding the economy.

       The rate for payroll tax, which goes towards Medicare and Social Security, is currently at 6.2 percent. That rate has been in effect since 2013, when it reverted to 6.2 percent from a cut imposed by former President Barack Obama in 2012. The Obama administration requested Congress cut the rate to 4.2 percent to motivate consumer spending during the 2012 recession.
       On Monday morning, Trump disputed reports that the economy is slowing and railed against Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell for his "horrendous lack of vision." The president previously lobbied for the Fed not to cut interest rates, though the central bank did so in late July from 2 percent to 2.25 percent.
       "Our Economy is very strong, despite the horrendous lack of vision by Jay Powell and the Fed, but the Democrats are trying to 'will' the Economy to be bad for purposes of the 2020 Election. Very Selfish! Our dollar is so strong that it is sadly hurting other parts of the world...The Fed Rate, over a fairly short period of time, should be reduced by at least 100 basis points, with perhaps some quantitative easing as well. If that happened, our Economy would be even better, and the World Economy would be greatly and quickly enhanced-good for everyone," Trump wrote.

       According to NPR, Vice President Mike Pence echoed Trump's sentiments regarding the economy during a speech on Monday, telling the Detriot Economic Club, "Despite the irresponsible rhetoric of many in the mainstream media, the American economy is strong. And the U.S. economic outlook remains strong as well."

       However, an Associated Press report released Monday indicates that 74 percent of economists surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics expect the U.S. to enter into a recession no later than 2021.

       The survey was conducted between July 14 and August 1 where 34 percent said they think the economy will head into recession by 2021. Thirty-eight percent stated that the recession would occur sometime in 2020 while 2 percent said the recession would happen this year.

Donald Trump
       President Donald Trump speaks to members of the press before departing from the White House en route to Dayton, Ohio and El Paso, Texas on August 7, 2019 in Washington, DC. Trump is will visit the two cities to meet with victims and law enforcement following a pair of deadly shooting attacks last weekend.

       Some have been concerned that a recession could cost Trump reelection in 2020 as the president has made the economy a central point of his campaign. The president has frequently used unemployment rates and consumer spending as talking points when speaking at rallies and to the media, as well as through Twitter.
       In addition to directing his ire at Powell, the president has accused other countries, including China, of working against America and its economic interests and stated that the media is rooting for a recession.

       "The Fake News Media is doing everything they can to crash the economy because they think that will be bad for me and my re-election. The problem they have is that the economy is way too strong and we will soon be winning big on Trade, and everyone knows that, including China!," Trump wrote on Twitter on Aug. 15.



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