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特朗普为中国进口关税辩护,称贸易战“进展顺利”

2019-08-04 17:59  美国新闻网  -  4943

 

       唐纳德·特朗普总统周六在推特上为他的政府对华战略辩护,当时贸易紧张局势不断加剧,全球金融市场摇摇欲坠。
        “中国的情况非常好。奥巴马总统周六早上在推特上写道:“他们向我们支付了数百亿美元,这是由于他们的货币贬值和注入大量现金来维持他们的系统。”。“到目前为止,我们的消费者什么都不付——也没有通货膨胀。没有美联储的帮助!”

       特朗普一再声称,美国消费者不会受到对中国进口商品征收新关税的冲击。事实上,美国海关和边境保护局向国内进口商征税,而不是向中国出口商征税。

       本周,总统宣布对中国进口商品征收新一轮关税,这次是对价值3000亿美元的中国商品征收10%的关税。这使得几乎没有一种从中国进口的产品没有受到已经刺痛世界两个最重要经济体的贸易战的影响。

       包括世界银行首席经济学家皮涅罗皮·戈德堡在内的一组经济学家3月份的一项研究发现,从宏观经济角度来看,关税成本的增加几乎完全被吸收了美国消费者和进口商。即使算上竞争对手国内制造商增加的收入和活动,该报也计算出特朗普的贸易战使美国经济损失了国内生产总值的0.04%。

       这篇论文支持了研究国际贸易的经济学家的主流观点:特朗普对中国进口商品征收关税的大部分成本由美国进口商和消费者承担。

       中国政府的报复性关税也对依赖对华出口的企业产生了负面影响。

       此外,总统声称希望代表他的中西部、工业和农业支持基地与中国展开针锋相对的贸易战,但这可能并没有达到预期的效果。

President Trump Departs White House For Bedminster, NJ Estate
2019年8月2日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在DC华盛顿登上海军陆战队一号并离开白宫之前与记者进行了交谈。特朗普将前往新泽西州贝德明斯特,在他的特朗普国家高尔夫俱乐部度过周末。
 

       经济学家在3月份的论文中写道,“在共和党人占多数的县,贸易部门的工人受到贸易战的负面影响最大”,这一发现可能会在总统竞选连任之际让共和党选民中的一部分人气馁。

       特朗普周六早上还在推特上没有引用任何具体例子,称其他国家叫嚣要与特朗普就重组后的贸易协定进行谈判。

       他写道:“各国来找我们,希望谈判真正的贸易协议,而不是历届政府达成的单边恐怖秀协议。”。“他们不想成为美国关税的目标。”

 

TRUMP DEFENDS TARIFFS ON CHINESE IMPORTS, CLAIMS TRADE WAR "GOING ALONG VERY WELL"

       President Donald Trump defended his administration's strategy towards China amid roiling trade tensions and teetering global financial markets in a tweet on Saturday.

       "Things are going along very well with China. They are paying us Tens of Billions of Dollars, made possible by their monetary devaluations and pumping in massive amounts of cash to keep their system going," the president wrote on his Twitter feed Saturday morning. "So far our consumer is paying nothing - and no inflation. No help from Fed!"

       Trump has repeatedly claimed that U.S. consumers don't bear the brunt of new tariffs imposed on Chinese imports. In reality, U.S. Customs and Border Protection collects duties from domestic importers, not from Chinese exporters.

       This week, the president announced yet another round of tariffs on Chinese imports, this time at a rate of 10 percent on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods entering the United States. This leaves nearly no product imported from China untouched by a trade war already stinging the world's two most important economies.

       A March study from a group of economists including Pinelopi Goldberg, the Word Bank's top economist, found that, from a macroeconomic perspective, increased tariff costs are near totally absorbed by U.S. consumers and importers. Even after accounting for increased revenue and activity from competing, domestic manufacturers, the paper calculated that Trump's trade war cost the U.S. economy 0.04 percent of GDP.

       This paper backs up the mainstream thinking among economists studying international trade: the majority of the cost of Trump's tariffs on Chinese imports is borne by U.S. importers and consumers.

       Retaliatory tariffs from the Chinese government have also had their own negative impact on companies relying on exports to China for a substantial portion of their business.

       Moreover, the president's professed desire to engage in a tit-for-tat trade war with China on behalf of his Midwestern, industrial and agricultural base of support may not be panning out as desired.

President Trump Departs White House For Bedminster, NJ Estate
U.S. President Donald Trump talks to journalists before boarding Marine One and departing the White House August 02, 2019 in Washington, DC. Trump is traveling to Bedminster, New Jersey, to spend the weekend at his Trump National Golf Club.
 

       The economists in the March paper wrote that "tradeable-sector workers in heavily Republican counties were the most negatively affected by the trade war," a finding that could discourage a critical portion of the Republican electorate as the president heads into his re-election campaign.
       
       Trump also tweeted Saturday morning, without citing any specific examples, that other countries were clamoring to negotiate with Trump on reconfigured trade agreements.

       "Countries are coming to us wanting to negotiate REAL trade deals, not the one sided horror show deals made by past administrations," he wrote. "They don't want to be targeted for Tariffs by the U.S."

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