也许没有哪个国家会像美国一样直接受到其结果的影响选举如同伊朗。
随着美国经历了当选总统和副总统之间坎坷的权力交接乔·拜登和一个顽固的总统唐纳德·特朗普谁拒绝承认选举，并继续推动毫无根据的选举欺诈指控的叙事，伊朗政治专家和观察员现在采取观望态度，因为他们在思考谈判放松扼杀伊朗经济的制裁的最佳途径。
特朗普政府建立了一个“最大压力”政策20世纪90年代后两国关系日益紧张政府指责伊朗发射导弹9月份，来自沙特境内的近12枚巡航导弹和20多架无人驾驶飞机袭击了沙特的一个关键石油设施。
特朗普政府还于2018年5月退出了正式称为联合全面行动计划的伊朗核协议，重新实施了涵盖伊朗石油工业的制裁。
由于石油是伊朗的主要收入来源，严厉的制裁将该国排除在相关的国际市场之外，并通过高通胀和伊朗伊斯兰共和国货币里亚尔的大幅贬值严重损害了该国已经不景气的经济。
一些专家说美国和伊朗除了谈判和和解之外，没有其他修复关系的办法。
然而，在与美国谈判时，伊朗的保守派和温和派采取了不同的方法。
众所周知，哈桑·鲁哈尼总统隶属于伊朗政治光谱的温和派，他表示希望当选总统拜登将解除对伊朗的制裁，并重返《联合行动纲领》。
鲁哈尼还间接对他的保守派对手说，“任何人都不应该浪费取消制裁的机会。”
鲁哈尼在美国大选后的言论引发了伊朗保守派的反弹，他们反对与白宫谈判，无论美国哪个政党掌权。
伊朗保守派人士表示:“控制通胀和解决该国的许多问题与谈判或制裁无关。”《韩国日报》在一篇政治社论中写道星期四。
这篇社论将鲁哈尼政府与拜登政府谈判的希望描述为“机智的荒地和谈判的海市蜃楼”。
然而，一些专家认为，即使是伊朗的保守派也会欢迎结束制裁以及缓和与美国关系的举措
政治专家迈赫迪·莫塔哈尼亚(Mehdi Motaharnia)告诉美国广播公司(ABC News)，尽管特朗普政府希望“遏制伊朗的行为和政治活动”，但他认为伊朗保守派仍然“欢迎重新谈判”。
伊朗的两个主要政党就如何组建新的美国政府发表了政治言论，除此之外，该国即将在大约六个月后举行总统选举。
然而，莫塔哈尼亚说，在伊朗2021年的选举中，哪个政党占据席位并不重要。
“谁领导伊朗政府没有太大区别，因为这个机构不是这里的国家核心，而是管理官僚事务的行政权力，”莫塔哈尼亚补充说，这意味着主要的外交政策决定是由最高领导人阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊做出的。
不管拜登对伊朗采取更宽松政策的可能性有多大，莫塔哈尼亚认为当选总统不会彻底改变美国对伊朗的立场。
“的确，两国的问题已经‘核化’但是，除了核问题、伊朗的导弹计划及其对所谓的恐怖组织的支持之外，两国需要讨论他们之间的核心问题，”莫塔尼亚说。
对他来说，这个“核心”问题始于42年前伊斯兰革命后接管美国大使馆。
“两国需要从就‘谈判’的含义达成一致开始...莫塔尼亚说，正如最高领导人所说，伊朗的政策是“不谈判，不战争”，美国的政策是“要么谈判，要么战争”。
莫塔哈尼亚还表示，如果美国想在“新的全球秩序”中占据上风，就需要伊朗站在自己一边。
Iran watching and waiting after US election
Perhaps no other country will be as directly affected by the outcome of the U.S.electionasIran.
As the U.S. undergoes a bumpy transition of power between President-electJoe Bidenand a recalcitrant PresidentDonald Trumpwho is refusing to concede the election and continues pushing a narrative of baseless election fraud accusations, Iranian political experts and observers are taking a watch and wait stance for now -- as they ponder the best path forward to negotiate easing sanctions that have strangled Iran's economy.
The Trump administration instituted a"maximum pressure" policyagainst Iran amid increasing tensions between the two countries after theadministration accused Iran of launchingnearly a dozen cruise missiles and over 20 drones from its territory in an attack on a key Saudi oil facility in September.
The Trump administration also withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal, officially called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, in May 2018, reimposing sanctions that encompassed Iran's oil industry.
With oil being Iran's major source of revenue, strict sanctions excluded the country from related international markets and severely damaged its already ailing economy with high inflation and dramatic devaluation of the rial -- the Islamic Republic's currency.
Some experts saythere is no other way for the U.S. and Iran to repair relations but to negotiate and make up.
However, when it comes to negotiating with America, Iran's conservative and moderate parties take different approaches.
President Hassan Rouhani, who is known to be affiliated with the moderate side of Iran's political spectrum, expressed hope that President-elect Biden would lift sanctions on Iran and return to the JCPOA.
"We feel that the atmosphere is prepared for closer relations and better interaction with all friendly countries," President Rouhani said in the weekly government session on Wednesday, theIslamic Republic News Agency reported."The man whose term is about to end would call the JCPOA the worst agreement ever which he wanted to terminate … The new man has said … that he wants to return to the JCPOA," he added.
Indirectly addressing his conservative rivals, Rouhani also said that "no one should waste the opportunity to lift sanctions."
Rouhani's remarks after the U.S. election have provoked backlash from Iran's conservatives who are against negotiating with the White House no matter which American political party is at the helm.
"Controlling inflation and resolving many of the country's problems have nothing to do with negotiation or sanctions," Iranian conservativeKayhan Daily wrote in a political editorialon Thursday.
The editorial described the Rouhani administration's hope to negotiate with Biden's government as a "wasteland of tact and mirage of negotiation."
However, some experts believe that even Iran's conservatives would welcome an end tosanctionsand a move toward easing the relationship with the U.S.
Mehdi Motaharnia, a political expert, told ABC News that while the Trump administration wanted "to curb Iran's behavior and political activities," he believes Iranian conservatives still "welcome renegotiation."
Adding to the political rhetoric among Iran's two main parties on how to approach a new U.S. administration, is the country's own upcoming presidential election which will be held in about six months.
However, Motaharnia said it does not matter which party takes the seat in Iran's 2021 election.
"It does not make much of a difference who leads the government in Iran, as this institution is not the core of the state here, but an executive power who runs bureaucratic affairs," Motaharnia added, implying that the major foreign policy decisions are made by the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Regardless of all assumptions about the possibility of Biden's more lenient policy toward Iran, Motaharnia does not think the president-elect will make a radical change in America's stance on Iran.
"It is true that the problem of the two countries has turned 'nuclearized.' But, besides the nuclear issue, Iran's missile program and its support of the so-called terrorist groups, the two countries need to discuss the core problem between them," Motaharnia said.
To him, this "core" issue started since the takeover of the American embassy after the Islamic Revolution 42 years ago.
"The two countries need to start from agreeing on what they mean by 'negotiation'... Iran's policy, as the Supreme Leader has said, is 'no negotiation, no war,' and that of the U.S. is 'either negotiation, or war,'" Motaharnia said.
Motaharnia also said the U.S. needs Iran on its side if it wants to have an upper hand in the "new global order."
