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新民意调查显示,特朗普的支持者比拜登的支持者更加热情

2020-03-30 16:15   美国新闻网   - 

唐纳德·特朗普总统在一场假设的大选中对决中几乎与民主党总统候选人乔·拜登并列,而与前副总统相比,共和党现任支持者中有近两倍的人表示,他们“非常热情”。新的民意调查。

新的ABC新闻/ 华盛顿邮报调查发现,如果今天在拜登和特朗普之间举行大选,前副总统将赢得49%的登记选民,而总统将赢得47%。以+/- 3.5个百分点的误差幅度,推定的共和党候选人和类似的民主党候选人实际上是并列的。

投票数据显示,特朗普在上个月也比拜登(Biden)取得了重大收益。今年2月,总统在登记选民中落后于民主党竞争对手7分,而现在仅为2分。总体而言,考虑到所有受访者(不仅仅是登记的选民),拜登的表现都更好,击败了特朗普50%至44%。

但对于拜登和民主党人而言,比缩小差距更令人担忧的是,前副总统的支持者显然缺乏热情。特朗普支持者中有86%的人表示对候选人充满热情,而拜登(Biden)的支持者中只有74%表示支持。几乎有两倍的特朗普选民说他们“非常热情”,即55%,而拜登支持者则只有28%。

《华盛顿邮报》指出,最近大选失败的总统候选人中,民主党人和共和党人,在大选之前对类似的早期民意调查的热情明显降低。对候选人缺乏兴奋可能表明他们的支持者在11月出来竞选该候选人的可能性较小。

新闻周刊已与拜登竞选活动取得联系,询问候选人如何计划在前进的支持者中树立更大的热情。

特别是,特朗普对冠状病毒大流行的处理以及经济似乎在选民中引起了共鸣。47%的受访者表示,他们比特朗普更信任特朗普,以应对健康危机,而只有43%的受访者认为前副总统会做得更好。此外,有52%的人表示他们信任特朗普来管理经济,而只有42%的人表示拜登也是如此。

拜登在其他最近的民意测验中与特朗普进行的假设大选对抗中表现更好。上周晨咨询公司发布的一项调查显示,拜登比特朗普领先5点,即47%至42%。福克斯新闻社的另一项民意调查显示拜登领先9点,比特朗普的40%高出49%。

这位前副总统虽未获得民主党的提名,但他是领跑者,被广泛认为是可能的获胜者。佛蒙特州的民主党总统候选人参议员伯尼·桑德斯仍在寻求该党的提名,尽管他目前在最近的民意测验中落后于拜登,并且在初选中落后于前副总统300多名代表。


TRUMP SUPPORTERS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ENTHUSIASTIC THAN BIDEN BACKERS, NEW POLL SHOWS


President Donald Trump is nearly tied with Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden in a hypothetical general election matchup, while nearly twice as many of the Republican incumbents' supporters say they are "very enthusiastic" compared to those of the former vice president, according to a new poll.

If the general election were to happen today between Biden and Trump, the former vice president would win 49 percent of registered voters while the president would win 47 percent, the new ABC News/Washington Post survey found. With a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, the presumptive Republican nominee and the like Democratic candidate are virtually tied.

Trump has made significant gains over Biden in the last month as well, the polling data showed. In February, the president was seven points behind his Democratic rival among registered voters, compared to just 2 points now. Overall, when all respondents – not just registered voters – are taken into consideration, Biden performs better, beating Trump 50 percent to 44 percent.

But perhaps more worrying for Biden and Democrats than the narrowing gap is the apparent lack of enthusiasm among the former vice president's supporters. Eighty-six percent of Trump's backers say they are enthusiastic about their candidate, while just 74 percent of Biden supporters say the same. And nearly twice as many likely Trump voters say they are "very enthusiastic," 55 percent, compared to Biden backers, just 28 percent.

The Washington Post noted that most of the recent failed presidential candidates – Democrat and Republican – saw significantly less enthusiasm in similar early polls ahead of the general elections. A lack of excitement for a candidate could signal that their supporters are less likely to come out and vote for the candidate in November.

Newsweek has reached out to the Biden campaign to ask how the candidate plans to build greater enthusiasm among his supporters moving forward.

In particular, Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic and the economy appears to have resonated well with voters. Forty-seven percent of respondents said they trusted Trump more than Biden to handle the health crisis, while only 43 percent believed the former vice president would do a better job. Additionally, 52 percent said they trust Trump to manage the economy while only 42 percent said the same for Biden.

Biden performed better in a hypothetical general election matchups against Trump in other recent polls. A survey by Morning Consult published last week showed Biden ahead of Trump by 5 points, 47 percent to 42 percent. Another poll by Fox News showed Biden ahead by 9 points, 49 percent to Trump's 40 percent.

The former vice president has not secured the Democratic nomination, although he is the front-runner and is widely seen as the likely winner. Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont is still seeking the party's nomination, although he currently trails Biden in most recent polls and is more than 300 delegates behind the former vice president in the primary race.

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