2020年2月7日,民主党总统候选人佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯走上讲台,参加由美国广播公司新闻频道、WMUR-TV和苹果新闻联合主办的2020年总统竞选季第八次民主党初选辩论。
根据美国有线电视新闻网在初选前最后几天发布的一项新民意调查,佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯以相当大的领先优势进入新罕布什尔州民主党初选,但印第安纳州前南本德市市长皮特·巴特吉格紧随其后。
桑德斯在1999年赢得了新罕布什尔州28%的民主党选票有线电视新闻网的调查由新罕布什尔大学调查中心进行。这是他自四月以来在该州最大的一次演出。但是排在第二位的蒂吉获得了新罕布什尔州民主党21%的支持,这是他参加竞选以来获得的最高支持率。
前副总统乔·拜登以11%的得票率位居第三,马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦以9%的得票率位居第四。
根据美国有线电视新闻网的调查,沃伦被最高比例的受访者——22%——选为下一个候选人,如果他们的首选候选人没有获得提名。在误差范围内,沃伦和拜登都被比任何其他挑战者都多的受访者选为“在任何情况下”都无法赢得支持的候选人
初选将于周二举行,标志着2020年竞选的第二次初选。周一,爱荷华州民主党人参加了一个基本上混乱的党团会议系统,该系统未能及时准确地报告投票总数。
民主党人从混乱中逃到了新罕布什尔州,但没有确定最终的获胜者,也没有解决困扰选举过程的许多违规问题。
在最终汇总后,桑德斯赢得了最多的原始选票。
其他民调也同样记录了桑德斯在花岗岩州的统治地位,数月来,桑德斯一直在该州领先。新罕布什尔州真实的政治平均民调显示,在民主党内,他比排名第二的竞争对手高出4.2%。
艾默生学院的一项调查显示,桑德斯的支持率为31%,比皮特·巴蒂吉高7%,再次位居第二。
萨福克大学最近进行的另一项调查显示,Buttigieg位居榜首,比Sanders高出1%。
周六的美国有线电视新闻网投票是在周二和周五之间进行的,就在该党周五晚上在曼彻斯特圣安瑟姆学院举行的最近一次初选辩论之前。
辩论阶段——也包括科技企业家杨安泽、明尼苏达州参议员艾米·克洛布查尔和亿万富翁汤姆·施泰尔——主要是候选人之间就击败现任总统唐纳德·特朗普的正确方法进行的反复辩论。
“不像这里的一些人,我没有40个亿万富翁,皮特,为我的竞选捐款,他们来自制药业,来自华尔街,以及所有的大财团,”桑德斯在辩论中说道,指的是Buttigieg。
就他而言,巴蒂吉格做出了引人注目的举动,不参与一些党内争斗。当主持人问及副总统的儿子亨特·拜登是否会成为国会调查的合法对象时,这位前印第安纳州市长表示反对。
“我们不会让他们改变话题,”他说。“这与亨特·拜登、副总统拜登或任何拜登无关。这是关于总统滥用权力。副总统和我以及我们所有人都在竞争,但我们必须在这里划清界限。”
尽管有线电视新闻网的调查结果有些混乱,但桑德斯被广泛认为是赢得州民主党提名的热门人选。56%的新罕布什尔州民主党人相信他会赢,这一支持率自1月份以来大幅上升,当时为39%。在民意调查中,桑德斯也被认为是11月击败特朗普的最佳人选。
BERNIE SANDERS LEADS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE AS PETE BUTTIGIEG GAINS TRACTION: POLL
Democratic presidential hopeful Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders walks onstage as he arrives for the eighth Democratic primary debate of the 2020 presidential campaign season co-hosted by ABC News, WMUR-TV and Apple News at St. Anselm College in Manchester, New Hampshire, on February 7, 2020.
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is heading into the New Hampshire Democratic primary with a sizeable lead, but former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg is right on his tail, according to a new CNN poll released in the final days preceding the primary vote.
Sanders earned a 28-percent share of the Democratic vote in New Hampshire in CNN's survey, which was conducted by the University of New Hampshire's Survey Center. This represents his largest showing in the state since April. Buttigieg, in second place, received the support of 21 percent of New Hampshire Democrats, his highest share since he entered the race.
At 11 percent, former Vice President Joe Biden followed in third place, with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren in fourth place at 9 percent.
According to the CNN survey, Warren was selected by the highest share of respondents—22 percent—as the next choice should their first-choice candidate fall short of the nomination. Within the margin of error, both Warren and Biden were selected by more respondents than any other challenger as candidates who could not earn their support "under any circumstance."
The primary vote, which will occur on Tuesday, marks the second primary selection in the 2020 campaign. On Monday, Iowa Democrats participated in a largely confounded caucus system that failed to accurately report vote totals in a timely manner.
Democrats fled from the imbroglio to New Hampshire without having determined a definitive winner or having resolved many of the irregularities that had beset the process.
Sanders won the most amount of raw votes after totals were finally tabulated.
Other polls have similarly documented Sanders' dominance in the Granite State, where, for months, Sanders has led the field. A RealClearPolitics average of New Hampshire polls indicates that, within the Democratic Party, he is up 4.2 percent over his next-highest ranking competitor.
An Emerson College survey, conducted through Friday, had Sanders at 31 percent, up 7 percent over Pete Buttigieg, again in second place.
Another recent survey, conducted by Suffolk University, put Buttigieg in the top spot, up 1 percent over Sanders.
Saturday's CNN poll was fielded between Tuesday and Friday, just before the party's most recent primary debate at St. Anselm College in Manchester Friday night.
The debate stage—which also included tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar and billionaire Tom Steyer—largely featured back-and-forth volleys among the candidates about the right approach to defeating incumbent President Donald Trump.
"Unlike some of the folks up here, I don't have 40 billionaires, Pete, contributing to my campaign, coming from the pharmaceutical industry, coming from Wall Street, and all the big money interests," Sanders remarked during the debate, referring to Buttigieg.
For his part, Buttigieg made conspicuous moves not to engage in some intra-party tussling. When moderators asked about whether Hunter Biden, the vice president's son, would be a legitimate subject for congressional inquiry, the former Indiana mayor objected.
"We're not going to let them change the subject," he said. "This is not about Hunter Biden, or Vice President Biden, or any Biden. This is about an abuse of power by the president. The vice president and I and all of us are competing, but we've got to draw a line here."
Despite some of the CNN survey's more muddled results, Sanders is widely perceived as the favorite to win the state Democratic Party's nomination. Fifty-six percent of New Hampshire Democrats believe he will win, a sentiment which is up substantially since January, when it was at 39 percent. In the poll, Sanders was also perceived as having the best shot of beating Trump in November.