至关重要的爱荷华州核心小组——2020年总统选举的第一次正式竞争——只剩几天了，但民意测验显示，这仍然是任何人的竞争。

几个月来，乔·拜登、皮特·巴蒂吉、伯尼·桑德斯和伊丽莎白·沃伦一直在争夺这个战场州的第一名。最新的新闻蒙莫斯大学民意测验从周一的活动开始不到一周，可能参加爱荷华州党团会议的人显示，所有人都聚集在一起。

前副总统拜登在民主党候选人领域以微弱优势领先，有23%的支持来自可能参加核心会议的人。桑德斯以21%的支持率紧随其后。但是吉吉以16%的支持率位居第三，沃伦以15%的支持率位居第一。

这项调查最重要的收获之一是，所有四名候选人都超过了该州15%的生存门槛。在爱荷华州，候选人需要在第一轮核心小组中获得至少15%的选票才能进入最后的计票阶段，这也是该州代表的分配方式。

蒙莫斯最新民调的结果与本月早些时候该大学对爱荷华州党员的调查结果几乎相同。两周前，调查显示拜登的支持率为24%，桑德斯为18%，巴蒂吉为17%，沃伦为15%。

但是最新的民意测验也显示，选民远没有对任何一个候选人产生好感。接受调查的大约一半可能参加会议的人(45%)说，他们仍然愿意在周一投票时改变主意。

这对拜登和沃伦这样的候选人来说是个好消息，他们是大多数爱荷华州选民的第二选择。39%的受访者说拜登是他们的第二选择，34%的人说沃伦是他们的第二选择。

蒙莫斯大学的民意调查于1月23日至1月27日进行，调查了544名可能参加爱荷华州民主党党团的人。民意测验的误差幅度是正负4.2个百分点。

民主党总统候选人前副总统乔拜登在2020年1月29日衣阿华州布拉夫斯议会的一次竞选活动中发言。民调显示，拜登在2020年迄今最具竞争力的选举中，以微弱优势领先于2020年的竞争对手。

就在领先候选人之外的是明尼苏达州参议员艾米·克洛布查尔。根据蒙莫斯的民意测验，爱荷华州10%可能的党团成员会支持她竞选总统。这比两周前增加了2%，比2019年8月增加了7%。

“这个人应该得到一张爱荷华州的票，才能继续前进，我请求你为我这么做，”克洛布彻周末对州选民说。这是这位参议员能够向可能的选民提出的最后建议之一，因为她必须在华盛顿特区担任唐纳德·特朗普总统弹劾案的陪审员。

但是克洛布查尔有可能在爱荷华州从拜登那里得到提升。这 纽约时报 据报告的本周早些时候，这位前副总统的团队提出了在第一次核心小组投票前联合克洛布查尔竞选的可能性。计划是在他们中的一方没有足够的支持来获胜的地区互相帮助。但据称参议员的竞选团队对该提议没有兴趣。

爱荷华州竞选中的异常者包括麦克·班尼、图西·加巴德、汤姆·施泰尔和杨安泽。根据蒙莫斯大学的数据，斯特耶尔以4%的支持率领先，紧随其后的是杨占3%，贝内特和加巴德占1%。

爱荷华州核心会议将于2月3日星期一下午7点举行。

HERE'S WHERE THE 2020 DEMOCRATS STAND IN IOWA AHEAD OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION'S FIRST CAUCUS

The all-important Iowa caucus—the first official contest of the 2020 presidential election—is just days away but the polls show that it is still anyone's race.

Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have been wrestling for the top spot in the battleground state for months. The latest Monmouth University poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers shows the group all bunched together less than a week from Monday's event.

Former Vice President Biden narrowly lead the field of Democratic candidates with 23 percent support from likely caucusgoers. Sanders was not far behind with 21 percent support. Buttigieg placed third with 16 percent support and Warren rounded out the top tier with 15 percent support.

One of the most important takeaways from the survey is that all four candidates are above the state's 15 percent viability threshold. In Iowa, a candidate needs to get at least 15 percent of the votes in the first round of the caucus to move on to the final count, which is how the state's delegates will be distributed.

The results from the latest Monmouth poll were nearly the same as the university's survey of Iowa caucusgoers from earlier this month. Two weeks ago, the survey showed Biden at 24 percent support, Sanders at 18 percent, Buttigieg at 17 percent and Warren with 15 percent.

But the latest poll also showed that voters are far from sold on any one candidate. About half of likely caucusgoers surveyed (45 percent) said they were still open to changing their minds when they show up to vote on Monday.

That's good news for candidates like Biden and Warren, who are the second choice candidate for most Iowa voters. Thirty-nine percent of those polled said Biden was their second choice pick and 34 percent said Warren would be their second choice.

The Monmouth University poll was conducted from January 23 to January 27 and surveyed 544 likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden speaks during a campaign event at The Grass Wagon January 29, 2020 in Council Bluffs, Iowa. Polling shows Biden with a narrow lead over his 2020 competitors in the most competitive contest of the 2020 election so far.

Just outside the leading pack of candidates is Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar. According to the Monmouth poll, 10 percent of likely Iowa caucusgoers would back her bid for president. That's a 2 percent increase from two weeks ago and a 7 percent increase from August 2019.

"This person deserves a ticket out of Iowa, to be able to go forward, and I am asking you to do that for me," Klobuchar said to state voters over the weekend. It was one of the final pitches the senator could make to likely voters, as she has to be in Washington D.C. to serve as a juror in President Donald Trump's impeachment trial.

But there is the possibility that Klobuchar could receive a boost in Iowa from Biden. The New York Times reported earlier this week that the former vice president's team has floated the possibility of teaming up Klobuchar's campaign ahead of the first caucus vote. The plan would be to help each other in precincts where one of them doesn't have enough support to win. But the senator's campaign allegedly expressed no interest in the proposal.

The outliers in the Iowa race include Michael Bennet, Tulsi Gabbard, Tom Steyer and Andrew Yang. Steyer leads the pack with 4 percent support according to Monmouth University, followed by Yang at 3 percent and Bennet and Gabbard at 1 percent.

The Iowa caucuses will take place at 7 p.m. CT on Monday, February 3.