根据，几个月来第一次，美国每日住院水平和新新冠肺炎相关死亡人数预计将在未来四周内增加更新的预测模型由疾病控制和预防中心使用。

在许多州和城市取消掩蔽要求和缓解措施后，全国感染人数连续几周稳步上升，预计将出现增长。

天气预报现在预测，未来两周将有大约5000人死亡，俄亥俄州、纽约州和新泽西州预计将在未来几周内出现最大的每日死亡总数。

马里奥·塔玛/盖蒂图片社，文件

实验室技术员阿莱杭德娜·桑切斯在公共关系部的急诊部照顾一名病人...

“可以肯定的是，我们仍处于疫情之中——这一点毫无疑问，”美国顶级传染病专家安东尼·福奇博士上周对《外交政策》表示。

预测模型显示，全国42个州和地区的住院人数，包括纽约、明尼苏达、威斯康星和佛罗里达，预计在未来两周内将会增加。

联邦数据显示，在全国范围内，越来越多的新冠肺炎阳性患者已经入院，需要护理。

自上个月下旬以来，每日住院总人数一直在缓慢增加，尤其是在东北部，根据疾病控制中心的数据。上周，入院人数增加了20%，急诊量也增加了18%。

CDC报告称，平均每天有2200多名病毒阳性的美国人进入医院，这一数字在上周增加了20%。这也标志着自3月中旬以来需要护理的患者人数达到最高水平。

美国卫生与公众服务部(Department of Health and Human Services)表示，总体而言，美国各地医院中约有18，300名新冠肺炎确诊患者，比过去两周增加了18%报告。

虽然总数仍然大大低于疫情其他地区，但现在全国各地区的入学水平都在上升。

在全国范围内，新感染率已经达到近两个月来的最高点。根据CDC的数据，每天官方报告的新病例超过60，000例，比上周增加了27%。

在东北部和纽约-新泽西地区，感染率在过去两周内分别上升了64.8%和54.8%。

自去年夏天以来，几十个州已经关闭了公共考试场，现在可以在家里进行更多的新冠肺炎考试。大多数美国人没有向官员报告他们的结果，因此，专家说感染总数很可能被大大低估。

卫生专家表示，各种因素的综合作用可能会推动该国最近的病毒死灰复燃，包括掩蔽要求和其他新冠肺炎限制的放松，以及高传染性的奥米克隆亚变异体，据估计，这些变异体的传播能力比最初的奥米克隆菌株高30%至80%。

最新发布的联邦数据显示，BA.2亚变体BA.2.12.1于上个月在美国纽约州首次发现，在美国继续稳步增长。亚变异体现在占全国新新冠肺炎病例的36.5%，而在纽约-新泽西地区，它占新病例的大多数——近62%。

随着疫苗免疫力的减弱和令人担忧的变种的出现，卫生官员继续敦促公众接种疫苗和加强免疫，以防止严重疾病和住院的风险。

“我们希望随着我们进入秋季，我们不会看到(病例)大幅上升，但这仍有待观察。我们将不得不等待和观察，这就是为什么我们仍然鼓励人们接种疫苗，”福奇上周说。“如果你还没有接种疫苗，或者如果你已经接种了疫苗，并且有资格接受加强疫苗，请确保现在就接种。”

COVID-19 hospital admissions, deaths forecasted to rise in the US for first time in months

For the first time in months, daily hospital admission levels and new COVID-19 related deaths in the United States are both projected to increase over the next four weeks, according toupdated forecast modelsused by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The projected increases come after weeks of steady upticks in infections across the country, subsequent to the removal of masking requirements and mitigation measures in many states and cities.

The forecast now predicts that approximately 5,000 deaths will occur over the next two weeks, with Ohio, New York, and New Jersey projected to see the largest totals of daily deaths in the weeks to come.

“We are still in the middle of a pandemic, to be sure—there’s no confusion about that,” Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease expert, told Foreign Policy last week.

The forecast models show that 42 states and territories in hospital admissions across the country, including New York, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Florida, are projected to see increases in the next two weeks.

Nationally, a growing number of COVID-19 positive patients have already been admitted to hospitals, requiring care, federal data shows.

Since late last month, daily hospital admission totals have been slowly increasing, particularly in the Northeast,according to CDC data. And in the last week, admissions have jumped by 20%, with emergency department visits also up by 18%.

On average, more than 2,200 virus-positive Americans are entering the hospital each day -- a total that has increased by 20% in the last week, the CDC reports. This also marks the highest number of patients requiring care since mid-March.

Overall, there are about 18,300 patients with confirmed cases of COVID-19 in hospitals across the country, up by 18% in the last two weeks, the Department of Health and Human Servicesreports.

Although totals remain significantly lower than during other parts of the pandemic, admission levels are now on the rise in every region of the country.

Nationally, new infection rates have reached their highest point in nearly two months. More than 60,000 new cases are being officially reported each day, up by 27% in the last week, according to the CDC.

In the Northeast and New York-New Jersey region, infection rates have risen by 64.8% and 54.8% respectively, over the last two weeks.

Since last summer, dozens of states have moved to shutter public testing sites, with more at-home COVID-19 tests now available. Most Americans are not reporting their results to officials, and thus, experts say infection totals are likely significantly undercounted.

Health experts say a confluence of factors is likely driving the nation’s latest viral resurgence, including the easing of masking requirements and other COVID-19 restrictions as well as highly contagious omicron subvariants, which have been estimated to be between 30% and 80% more transmissible than the original omicron strain.

The BA.2 subvariant, BA.2.12.1, first discovered domestically last month, in New York state, continues to steadily increase in the U.S., newly released federal data shows. The subvariant now accounts for 36.5% of new COVID-19 cases nationwide, while in the New York — New Jersey area, it accounts for the majority — nearly 62% — of new cases.

With vaccine immunity waning and the presence of variants of concern growing, health officials continue to urge the public to get vaccinated and boosted to prevent the risk of severe disease and hospitalization.

“We hope that we don’t see a major uptick [in cases] as we get into the fall, but that remains to be seen. We’re going to have to wait and see, which is the reason why we’re still encouraging people to get vaccinated,” Fauci said last week. “If you’ve not been vaccinated or if you have been vaccinated and are eligible for a booster, make sure to get it now.”