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绝大多数人支持将军队留在阿富汗直到任务完成

2021-08-30 07:38  ABC   - 

不到十分之四的美国人支持总统乔·拜登对…的处理阿富汗,有压倒性的两党支持保留美国军队在乡下直到所有美国人和援助的阿富汗人美国在20年的战争期间已经撤离,一个新的美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查发现。

尽管乔·拜登总统坚持认为所有美国军队一定是出去了根据民意调查,到周二,无论手头的疏散任务是否完成,美国人普遍不同意。

这项调查是使用益普索的知识面板进行的,所有的采访都是在恐怖袭击在喀布尔的哈米德·卡尔扎伊国际机场13名美国军人170名阿富汗人死亡。另有数百人在袭击中受伤,伊斯兰国的一个分支机构ISIS-K声称对此负责。

超过8/10(84%)的美国人认为美国军队应该留在该国,直到所有美国人撤离,略高于7/10(71%)的人认为他们应该留在该国,直到所有帮助过美国的阿富汗人也撤离。

与公众态度中典型的两极分化不同,两党对美国军队的支持惊人地一致。在共和党、民主党和无党派人士中,压倒性多数(分别为87%、86%和86%)认为,在所有美国人撤离阿富汗之前,美军不应撤离。在所有援助美国的阿富汗人撤离之前,党派差距对于在阿富汗驻军也是微不足道的,77%的共和党人、72%的民主党人和70%的独立人士表示,在撤离之前,军队应该留在阿富汗。

拜登星期四谈到这次袭击时说任务的危险就是为什么他“如此坚决地限制”它的持续时间。

“我们越早完成越好。运营的每一天带来额外的风险“敬我们的军队,”总统在自杀式爆炸的前两天,星期二说我们在地面上的每一天,都是我们知道ISIS-K试图以机场为目标,袭击美国和盟军以及无辜平民的又一天。"

拜登在周六下午与他的国家安全团队会面后发表声明称,美国军队正在“极其危险的条件下”继续疏散平民警告另一个攻击“极有可能在未来24-36小时内发生。”周六早些时候,美国驻喀布尔大使馆发出警报类似于周四恐怖袭击前大约14小时发布的机场安全威胁警告,告诉所有美国公民避开该地区或“马上离开”如果在大门口。当晚,美国大使馆发布最新警告,称机场存在“具体、可信的威胁”。

不到十分之四(38%)的美国人赞成总统对阿富汗的处理方式,比在7月23日至24日的投票中表示赞成拜登处理美军撤离的比例低17个百分点美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查。

尽管周日的美国广播公司新闻/益普索没有衡量拜登的总体支持率,五点三十八分的追踪器平均总统支持率民调显示,他的赞成-不赞成率甚至是他任期内的第一次,截至周五,两者的支持率达到47%-47%。

但是根据美国广播公司新闻/益普索的最新民意调查,公众对他处理阿富汗问题的不赞同并没有影响他们对其他问题的看法。绝大多数人(64%)赞成拜登如何应对美国大选冠状病毒大流行,这实际上与7月份美国广播公司新闻/益普索民意调查的结果相同。拜登对重建美国基础设施的处理也获得了很高的支持率(62%)。

大多数(55%)美国公众也赞同他对经济复苏的处理方式;在7月的民意调查中,53%的人表示赞同。大约十分之四(41%)的人赞同他对移民和南部边境局势的处理,而上月这一比例为37%。

在他对枪支暴力和犯罪的处理上,这些问题密切相关,大约一半的美国人不赞成——分别是52%和50%。但这实际上代表了自7月份以来的进步,根据7月份美国广播公司新闻/益普索的民意调查,当时61%的美国人不赞成拜登处理枪支暴力的方式,58%的人不赞成他处理犯罪的方式。

对于每一个问题,至少三分之二的民主党人赞成拜登如何处理。他在自己政党中的最高支持率是对新冠肺炎(91%)、基础设施(91%)和经济复苏(89%)的处理,最低支持率是对边境、枪支暴力和阿富汗的处理,各为67%。

在关键的独立人士群体中,支持率与每期的总体公众投票结果密切相关。

不到三分之一的共和党人赞同拜登对每个问题的处理,但他对大流行应对措施的处理获得了最高分(32%)。关于他对阿富汗的处理,只有十分之一(11%)的共和党人赞成,这是他在民意调查中的最低分。

虽然三分之二(67%)的美国人至少在某种程度上担心美国发生重大恐怖袭击,但共和党人比民主党人和独立人士更有可能感到担忧,分别为80%和59%和65%。

但是,即使在喀布尔发生致命的恐怖袭击后,公众对国内重大恐怖袭击的担忧程度也低于近年来美国广播公司新闻/华盛顿邮报民意调查衡量的其他时期。2014年10月,约70%的美国人(71%)担心美国发生袭击;2015年1月,约四分之三的人感到担忧;而在2016年9月,也就是ABC新闻民调中最后一次被问到这个问题时,近八成(78%)的人表示担心。

大多数美国人(56%)也认为,美国在阿富汗军事存在的结束对该国免受恐怖主义威胁的程度没有影响。超过三分之一(36%)的人认为这让美国在恐怖主义面前变得不那么安全,但同样,共和党人比民主党人和独立人士更有可能认为这让美国变得不那么安全,59%的人认为这一比例为21%和36%。
 

Overwhelming bipartisan support for keeping troops in Afghanistan until all Americans, Afghans who aided US out: POLL

With fewer than 4 in 10 Americans approving of PresidentJoe Biden's handling ofAfghanistan, there is overwhelming bipartisan support forkeeping U.S. troopsin the country untilall AmericansandAfghans who aidedthe United States during the 20-year war have been evacuated, a newABC News/Ipsos pollfinds.

Although President Joe Biden has held firm that all U.S. troopsmust be outof the country by Tuesday, regardless of whether the evacuation mission at hand is complete, Americans broadly disagree, according to the poll.

The poll was conducted using Ipsos' KnowledgePanel and all interviews were completed after theterrorist attackat Kabul's Hamid Karzai International Airport that left at least13 U.S. service membersand 170 Afghans dead. Hundreds more were wounded in the attack, which an affiliate of the Islamic State, ISIS-K, claimed responsibility for.

More than 8 in 10 (84%) Americans think U.S. troops should remain in the country until all Americans are evacuated, and just over 7 in 10 (71%) think they should stay until all Afghans who helped the United States are evacuated as well.

Breaking from the typical polarization that characterizes public attitudes, support for U.S. troops staying is strikingly consistent across party lines. Among Republicans, Democrats and independents, overwhelming majorities -- 87%, 86% and 86%, respectively -- believe U.S. troops should not leave until all Americans are out of Afghanistan. The partisan gap is also negligible for keeping troops in Afghanistan until all Afghans who aided the United States are evacuated, with 77% of Republicans, 72% of Democrats and 70% of independents saying troops should stay until that happens.

Speaking about the attack Thursday, Biden said themission's dangeris why he's "been so determined to limit the duration" of it.

"The sooner we can finish the better. Each day of operationsbrings added riskto our troops," the president said Tuesday, two days before the suicide bombing. "Every day we're on the ground, is another day we know that ISIS-K is seeking to target the airport and attack both U.S. and allied forces and innocent civilians."

In a statement Saturday afternoon following a meeting with his national security team, Biden said U.S. troops are continuing to evacuate civilians amid "extremely dangerous conditions,"warning that anotherattack is "highly likely in the next 24-36 hours." Earlier Saturday, the U.S. Embassy in Kabulissued an alertsimilar to the one issued roughly 14 hours before Thursday's terrorist attack warning of security threats at the airport, telling all U.S. citizens to avoid the area or"leave immediately"if at the gates. In the evening, the U.S. embassy issued an updated warning of a "specific, credible threat" at the airport.

Fewer than 4 in 10 (38%) Americans approve of the president's handling of Afghanistan -- 17 points lower than the share who said they approved of Biden's handling of the U.S. troop withdrawal in a July 23-24ABC News/Ipsos poll.

While Sunday's ABC News/Ipsos did not measure Biden's overall approval,FiveThirtyEight's trackeraveraging presidential approval polls showed his approve-disapprove ratings were even for the first time during his term, converging at 47%-47% as of Friday.

But the public's disapproval of his handling of Afghanistan has not influenced their views on other issues, according to the new ABC News/Ipsos poll. A strong majority (64%) approve of how Biden is responding to thecoronavirus pandemic, which is virtually identical to the findings in July's ABC News/Ipsos poll. Biden also enjoys high approval (62%) for his handling of rebuilding U.S. infrastructure.

A majority (55%) of the American public also approves of his handling of the economic recovery; 53% approved in July's poll. About 4 in 10 (41%) approve of his handling of immigration and the situation at the southern border, compared to 37% last month.

On his handling of gun violence and crime, issues that track closely with one another, about half of Americans disapprove -- 52% and 50%, respectively. But this actually represents an improvement since July, when 61% of Americans disapproved of Biden's handling of gun violence and 58% disapproved of his handling of crime, according to the July ABC News/Ipsos poll.

For each issue, at least two-thirds of Democrats approve of how Biden is handling them. His highest approval ratings among his own party are for his handling of COVID-19 (91%), infrastructure (91%) and the economic recovery (89%), and his lowest approval ratings -- each at 67% -- are for his handling of the border, gun violence and Afghanistan.

Among the key group of independents, approval ratings track closely with the results among the public overall for each issue.

Fewer than a third of Republicans approve of Biden's handling of each issue, but he gets the highest marks for his handling of the pandemic response (32%). On his handling of Afghanistan, only 1 in 10 (11%) Republicans approve, his lowest mark of the issues polled.

While two-thirds (67%) of Americans are at least somewhat worried about a major terrorist attack in the United States, Republicans are more likely to be concerned than Democrats and independents, 80% compared to 59% and 65%, respectively.

But even after the deadly terrorist attack in Kabul, the public has a lower level of concern for a major terrorist attack at home than during other times in recent years when it was measured by ABC News/Washington Post polls. In October 2014, about 7 in 10 (71%) of Americans were worried about an attack in the United States; in January 2015, about three-quarters were worried; and in September 2016, the last time this question was asked in ABC News polling, nearly 8 in 10 (78%) were worried.

A majority (56%) of Americans also feel that the end of the United States' military presence in Afghanistan makes no difference in how safe the nation is from terrorism. Over a third (36%) feel this makes the United States less safe from terrorism, but again, Republicans are more likely than Democrats and independents to think it makes America less safe, 59% compared to 21% and 36%.

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