全国的一些共和党人改变他们的政党登记在1月6日国会大厦暴动之后。

在亚利桑那州、北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州和佛罗里达州——这些州已经公开了他们的一些数据——选民正在离开共和党。

“这绝对是一种趋势，我们在8日或9日之后就注意到了这一点——就在6日起义之后，”布劳沃德县选举监督通信主任康斯韦洛·凯利周六对美国广播公司新闻说佛罗里达的变化。

从大局来看，这些数字微不足道——这里或那里的几千名选民对共和党在全国的选民基础没有太大影响。一些民主党人也改变了他们的党派关系，尽管速度较低。但是早期数字令人惊讶。

佛罗里达州大学政治学教授迈克尔·麦克唐纳博士研究投票和选举告诉美国广播公司新闻，这种在联邦选举后的变化是不寻常的。

“人们在没有某种动机的情况下改变或改变他们的政党登记是非常不寻常的，”他说。

“人们改变注册的典型原因是有一个初选临近，而且初选是在政党注册的州，在那里你必须注册为一个政党或一个独立的政党。因此，在选举之前，你会看到人们在有政党登记的州重新登记，以便参加初选，”麦克唐纳补充说。“人们打电话说‘我想注册为民主党人、共和党人、独立人士或无党派人士’，这不是一种典型的活动。”这是一件非常不寻常的事情，报道说我们从选举官员那里得到了——这似乎是一件事。"

乔恩·切里/盖蒂影像公司

2021年1月6日，华盛顿特区，唐纳德·特朗普总统的支持者冲进国会大厦

在北卡罗来纳州，刚刚结束6000名共和党人根据州选举委员会的数据，从1月6日到1月19日，他们的登记改为不附属，在国会大厦暴乱后的一周，该州近900万登记选民中约有3600人进行了登记。大约530名前共和党人改变了他们与民主党的联系，大约1730名民主党人改变或取消了他们的政党联系。这些前民主党人中约有510人转变为共和党，而约有1210人脱离了他们的党派。

在整个12月份，当国会中的共和党人继续试图推翻选举结果以阻止乔·拜登总统就职时，只有1900多名共和党人将他们的登记改为不附属，大约2000名民主党人也这样做了。

2016年大选后，北卡罗来纳州在同一时间框架内改变党派的共和党人数不到450人。

根据国务卿办公室周四向美国广播公司新闻(ABC News)提供的数据，在亚利桑那州这个在过去几个选举周期中不断变蓝的州，自1月6日以来，约7500名选民将他们的登记从共和党转向其他政党或与共和党无关。其中，大约5300个州已经结束了150万注册的共和党人从他们的注册中删除了一个指定的政党。

乔·拜登总统以大约10，000票的优势赢得了亚利桑那州，但在选举后和起义前的两个月内，只有大约4，500名共和党人改变了他们的登记。

自1月6日以来，在民主党人中，只有1600多名选民改变或取消了他们的政党登记。根据Solis的说法，亚利桑那州在2016年选举后没有跟踪这些数据。像许多其他州一样，该办公室没有明确跟踪这些数据。

马里兰大学投票和参与教授迈克尔·汉默博士告诉美国广播公司新闻，大多数变化似乎集中在共和党人身上。

汉默说:“这种不平衡是我认为值得思考的问题，因为现在已经证明，这似乎主要是共和党人对1月6日事件的反应。”“但是，展望未来，我认为已经有一种趋势，即人们在很大程度上对双方都不满意。因此，这可能会加速这一进程，”他在谈到对美国国会大厦的袭击时说。

斯潘塞·普拉特/盖蒂影像公司

2021年1月20日，美国当选总统乔·拜登在华盛顿特区宣誓就职前，国民警卫队成员在通往美国国会大厦的街道上巡逻。在拜登在今天的就职典礼上宣誓就任美国第46任总统时，执法人员和州官员对潜在的暴力抗议保持高度警惕。

佛罗里达的一些人口稠密地区也显示出类似的迹象。

根据县选举委员会周五提供的数据，在该州最大的县迈阿密戴德(Miami-Dade)，一个关键的拉丁裔选民群体的家园，自1月6日以来，约有1600名共和党人改变了他们的党派关系，其中约1120人取消了党派关系，330人转为独立人士。在民主党人中，转换的总人数不到450人，其中约280人取消了党派关系。2016年同期在1月份，大约300名共和党人改变了他们的登记，大约500名民主党人也这样做了。

从11月4日到1月6日，该县约630名共和党人离开了该党，而近300人将他们的登记改为民主党。在同一时间框架内，大约950名民主党人离开了该党，而大约670人变成了共和党人，120人变成了独立人士。

这种趋势在布劳沃德县也很明显，在那里，近1720名共和党人改变了他们的党派关系，其中大部分人(1108人)改变了他们的党派关系。刚刚超过350人转为独立身份，约250人转投民主党。民主党在同一时间框架内有大约660次转变，超过430次转变为无党派，145次加入共和党。民主党也获得了一些与该党无关的选民，584项变革中有280多项变得消极，约180项加入了共和党。

佛罗里达州选举部无法提供该州1450多万选民中全州趋势的进一步细节。

据一位发言人说，在宾夕法尼亚州，国务卿不会在重大选举后立即跟踪这些数字。但是对一些县的调查显示美联社在那个水平上显示出相同的趋势。在坎伯兰县，美联社本月早些时候报道说，自1月6日暴乱以来，192人已经改变了他们的政党登记。只有13人转投共和党，其余179人转投民主党、独立党或第三方。与美国相比，这些数字微不足道350万共和党人在宾夕法尼亚州注册。

不定冠词美国广播公司新闻/华盛顿邮报民意调查从1月10日至13日的调查中发现，69%的美国人以很大的优势表示，共和党官员应该领导该党走向不同的方向，而不是跟随特朗普的领导。但仅在共和党人中，60%的人希望继续追随特朗普——比过去少，但仍标志着党内特朗普/无特朗普分裂的风险。2018年问的一个类似问题发现，当时83%的共和党人有同样的感受。

埃文·武奇/美联社

2021年1月6日，星期三，华盛顿，唐纳德·特朗普总统在抗议选举团认证的集会上发表讲话。

昆尼皮亚克最近的一项民意调查发现了类似的结果:77%的人表示，一旦特朗普离任，他们希望共和党离开他，包括53%的共和党人和倾向于共和党的独立人士。

麦克唐纳说，他怀疑还会有更多的变化，尽管过去几周的事件可能只是人们改变注册的一个暂时现象。

“这可能是共和党人的冰山一角，因为其他人可能对正在发生的事情感到不安，但他们还不愿意花时间改变政党登记，”他说。“从历史的大弧线来看，我们认为这可能只是暂时的。一旦退烧，我们就可以照常营业了。这是我对自己的一种看法。另一种观点是，这是一种更长期的东西——更持久的东西——我们在这里看到的更多的是一种重组。

Republicans in some battlegrounds left GOP after Capitol riot

Some Republicans across the country arechanging their party registrationsfollowing the insurrection at the Capitol on Jan. 6.

In Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Florida -- states which have made some of their data publicly available --voters were leavingthe Republican Party.

"It's definitely a trend and we noticed it right after -- on the 8th or 9th -- right after the insurrection on the 6th," Consuelo Kelly, the Broward County Supervisor of Elections communications director, told ABC News on Saturday about thechanges in Florida.

The numbers are minuscule in the grand scheme of things -- a few thousand voters here or there doesn't make much of a dent in the Republican Party's voter base nationwide. And some Democrats have also changed their party affiliations too, although at a lower rate. But the earlynumbers are raising eyebrows.

Dr. Michael McDonald, a political science professor at the University of Florida who studies voting andelections, told ABC News that this kind of change right after a federal election is out of the ordinary.

"It's very unusual for people to change or switch their party registrations without some incentive to do so," he said.

"The typical reason why people change their registration is there's a primary approaching and that primary is in a party-registration state, where you have to be registered with a party or as an independent. So, before an election you'll see people re-registering in order to participate in the primary in the states that have party registration," McDonald added. "It's not a typical activity for people to call up and say, 'I want to be registered as a Democrat, Republican, independent or nonpartisan.' That's a very unusual thing to be happening and reports that we're getting from election officers -- it seems like it's a thing."

In North Carolina, just over6,000 Republicanschanged their registration to unaffiliated from Jan. 6 to Jan. 19, with around 3,600 of the state's nearly 9 million registered voters making the change the week after the riot at the Capitol, according to data from the state Board of Elections. Around 530 former Republicans changed their affiliation to Democratic, and approximately 1,730 Democrats either changed or removed their party affiliation. Around 510 of those former Democrats changed to the Republican Party, while approximately 1,210 removed their party affiliation.

Throughout the entire month of December, while Republicans in Congress continued to attempt to overturn election results to prevent President Joe Biden from taking office, just over 1,900 Republicans switched their registration to unaffiliated, and around 2,000 Democrats did the same.

Following the 2016 election, the number of Republicans in North Carolina who changed their affiliations in the same time frame was just under 450.

In Arizona, a state which has steadily turned bluer over the past few election cycles, around 7,500 voters switched their registrations from the GOP to other parties or to unaffiliated since Jan. 6, according to data provided to ABC News by the Secretary of State's office on Thursday. Of those, about 5,300 of the state's over1.5 millionregistered Republicans removed a designated party from their registration.

President Joe Biden won Arizona by about 10,000 votes, but in the two-month period after the election and before the insurrection, only about 4,500 Republicans switched their registrations.

Among Democrats, just over 1,600 voters have switched or removed their party registration since Jan. 6. Arizona did not track this data following the 2016 election, according to Solis. Like many other states, the office does not explicitly track this data.

Dr. Michael Hanmer, a professor in voting and participation at the University of Maryland, told ABC News that most of the changes seems to be concentrated among Republicans.

"The imbalance is something that I think is interesting to think about, given it's proven right now, it seems mostly by Republicans reacting to the events of Jan. 6," Hanmer said. "But, going forward, I think there was already this trend in place that people were dissatisfied with both parties to a large extent. And so this might accelerate that," he said of the attack on the U.S. Capitol.

Some populous areas of Florida are showing similar signs.

In Miami-Dade, the state's largest county and home to a key group of Latino voters, about 1,600 Republicans have changed their party affiliations since Jan. 6, approximately 1,120 of those removing a party affiliation and 330 of them switching to independents, according to data provided by the county board of elections on Friday. Among Democrats, the total number of switches was just under 450 -- about 280 of them removing their party affiliation.In the same time frame during 2016, about 300 Republicans changed their registration during the month of January and around 500 Democrats did the same.

From Nov. 4 to Jan. 6, approximately 630 Republicans in the county left the party, while nearly 300 switched their registration to Democrat. In the same time frame, about 950 Democrats left the party, while around 670 changed to Republican and 120 to independent.

That trend is also visible in Broward County, where nearly 1,720 Republicans switched their affiliations and the bulk of them -- 1,108 -- moved to have no party affiliation. There were just over 350 who switched to independent status and about 250 moved to the Democratic Party. Democrats had around 660 switches in the same time frame, with over 430 moving to no party affiliation and 145 joining the Republican Party. Democrats gained some voters who weren't affiliated with the party as well, with over 280 of the 584 changes going blue and about 180 joining the GOP.

The Florida Department of Elections could not provide further detail on statewide trends among the state's over 14.5 million voters.

In Pennsylvania, the secretary of state doesn't track such numbers right after a major election, according to a spokesperson. But surveys of some counties from theAssociated Pressare showing the same trend at that level. In Cumberland County, The AP reported earlier this month that 192 people have changed their party registration since the Jan. 6 riot. Only 13 switched to the GOP -- the other 179 changed to Democrat, independent or a third party. The numbers are miniscule compared to the3.5 millionRepublicans registered in Pennsylvania.

AnABC News/ Washington Post poll, taken from Jan. 10-13 found that 69% of Americans, by a wide margin, said Republican officials should lead the party in a different direction rather than follow Trump's leadership. But just among Republicans, 60% want to continue to follow Trump -- fewer than in the past, but still marking the risk of a Trump/no Trump schism within the party. A similar question asked in 2018 found that 83% of Republicans at the time felt the same way.

A recent Quinnipiac poll found similar results: 77% say they'd like to see the Republican Party move on from Trump once he leaves office, including 53% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

McDonald said he suspects that more changes are to come, although the events over the past few weeks could amount to just a blip in terms of people switching registrations.

"It's probably the tip of the iceberg among Republicans, because other people may be upset about what's going on but they're not willing to take the time to change the party registration yet," he said. "From the big arc of history, we think well that's probably what's going to happen here is that this is just temporary. Once the fever subsides, then we'll be back to business as usual. That's one perspective that I take on myself. The other perspective is that this is something that's more long-term -- durable -- that what we're witnessing right here is more of a realignment."