如果唐纳德·特朗普总统周四威胁实施的新关税得以实施，美国与中国的贸易战每年可能让美国家庭损失900美元。
特朗普在推特上表示，他计划从9月份开始对另外3000亿美元的中国进口商品征收最低10%的关税。他说关税可能上升到25%或更高。此前对2500亿美元中国商品进口征收的关税已经伤害了消费者和企业，但周四威胁的这轮关税将产生更大的影响。“一个pparel高盛表示，如果新关税得以实施，“鞋类、消费电子产品和玩具”将受到最大影响说在一张由CNBC。
“特朗普总统下一轮关税的真正不同之处在于，它们主要打击美国消费者购买的商品。这第一次意味着服装、鞋子、玩具和许多消费电子产品的成本上升——到目前为止，所有这些都没有受到特朗普贸易战的影响，”乍得Bown彼得森国际经济研究所的贸易政策专家(PIIE)，已告知新闻周刊。
关税对较贫穷的美国人产生了不成比例的影响，因为保护主义措施带来的额外成本消耗了他们收入的更大一部分。即使更富有的人支付关税带来了更多的钱，那是因为他们购买了更多的产品。
牛津经济学院表示，特朗普此前对中国的贸易举措导致对2500亿美元进口商品征收25%的关税，最近一次上调是在5月，预计每户每年的成本约为500美元新闻周刊。随着进口额增加3000亿美元的新威胁，预测者估计，宣布的10%关税将使家庭平均损失700美元，如果特朗普当选，这个数字将上升到900美元棘齿将税率提高到25%。
彼得森研究所发布了一个更高的预测，估计如果所有关税达到25%，它们的直接影响将使家庭每年多支付1270美元。和非中国生产商关税员商品提高了自己的价格以从贸易战中获利PIIE这可能会进一步加剧消费者的成本。
特朗普5月威胁对3000亿美元的中国进口商品征收关税后，数百名商界领袖涌入华盛顿，描述此举的不利影响。特朗普一直关注中国涉嫌的知识产权盗窃和世界两大经济体之间的贸易失衡——美国有1美元419.2去年对中国的贸易逆差高达10亿美元——当他解释为什么发动贸易战时。但许多公司在证词中表示，对其产品征收关税会对企业和消费者造成不必要的伤害，让他们陷入与其行业无关的纠纷中。
美国最高贸易官员在上海会见中国代表后，奥巴马周四突然宣布了这一决定，这引发了商界领袖的又一轮谴责。
乔纳森·戈尔德说:“我们都同意中国是个糟糕的演员，但是对勤劳的美国人史无前例的增税并不是解决办法。”发言人代表零售、技术、制造业和农业的150个美国最大的贸易组织组成的“关税伤害中心地带”。“政府现在应该拿出一个真正的战略，停止有害关税，最终兑现美国人承诺的贸易协议。”
对总统来说，实施新关税可能是一个冒险的举动，他经常吹嘘当前的经济扩张和他的经济政策。华盛顿邮报 找到在2017年7月至2019年5月期间，越来越多的特朗普支持者将经济作为认可特朗普总统职位的理由。
但是他的贸易政策对经济增长产生了负面影响。美联储主席杰罗姆鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)周三宣布自2008年以来的首个联邦基金利率时，指出了贸易政策的不确定性和全球增长放缓。尽管持续创纪录的经济复苏，制造业活动在2006年放缓至近三年来的低点七月。在商业投资三年来首次收缩的引导下，第二季度国内生产总值增长了2.1%，比前三个月整整下降了1%。
尽管特朗普也承诺将美国就业机会带回美国，但他对北京的贸易政策可能无法实现这一目标。
NYU斯特恩商学院经济学教授劳伦斯·怀特说:“我们已经越来越成为一个以服务为导向的经济体，这种趋势很可能会继续下去。”。讲述 新闻周刊上月，特朗普将重振制造业的计划描述为“白日梦”
相反，企业已经开始将设施转移到越南等其他国家，而中国对美国采取报复措施。除了用自己的关税应对之外，北京方面也采取了报复措施降低美国竞争对手的关税，使美国企业处于不利地位。
WITH THREATENED TARIFFS, TRUMP'S CHINA TRADE WAR COULD COST AMERICAN HOUSEHOLDS $900 EACH YEAR
America's trade war with China could cost U.S. families $900 per year if the new tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump on Thursday are implemented.
Trump tweeted that he planned to levy minimum 10 percent tariffs on $300 billion more Chinese imports beginning in September. He said that the tariffs could rise to 25 percent or higher. Prior tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese goods imports have already hurt consumers and businesses, but the round threatened on Thursday would have a more significant impact. "Apparel, footwear, consumer electronics, and toys," will be most impacted if the new tariffs are implemented, Goldman Sachs said in a note seen by CNBC.
"What's really different about this next round of President Trump's tariffs is that they mostly hit goods bought by American consumers. For the first time, this means higher costs of clothing, shoes, toys, and a lot of consumer-electronics – all of those had been spared by Trump's trade war so far," Chad Bown, a trade policy expert at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), told Newsweek.
Tariffs have a disproportionate impact on poorer Americans, because the added costs from protectionist measures eat up a larger proportion of their income. Even though wealthier individuals pay more money due to tariffs, that's because they're buying more products.
Trump's prior trade moves against China, which have resulted in 25 percent tariffs on $250 billion of imports and were last raised in May, were expected to cost about $500 per household annually, Oxford Economics told Newsweek. With the new threat on $300 billion more imports, the forecaster estimated that the announced 10 percent tariffs would cost households an average $700, an amount that would rising to $900 if Trump ratchets up the tariff rate to 25 percent.
The Peterson Institute has issued a higher projection, estimating that if all tariffs reach 25 percent, their direct impact will leave households paying $1,270 more per year. And non-Chinese producers of tariffed goods have raised their own prices to profit from the trade wars, which PIIE said could further exacerbate the cost to consumers.
After Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $300 billion of Chinese imports in May, hundreds of business leaders cascaded into Washington to describe the detrimental impact of such a move. Trump has focused on China's alleged intellectual property theft and the trade imbalance between the world's two largest economies–America had a $419.2 billion trade deficit with China last year–when explaining why he is mounting the trade war. But many companies said in their testimony that tariffs on their products would unnecessarily hurt business and consumers, leaving them caught in a dispute that was unrelated to their industries.
The president's sudden announcement on Thursday, which came after top U.S. trade officials met with Chinese representatives in Shanghai, prompted another cascade of denunciations from business leaders.
"We all agree China is a bad actor, but an unprecedented tax hike on hardworking Americans is not the answer," said Jonathan Gold, a spokesperson for Tariffs Hurt the Heartland, a group of 150 of America's largest trade organizations representing retail, tech, manufacturing and agriculture. "It's time for the administration to come up with a real strategy, put a stop to harmful tariffs and finally deliver the trade deal Americans were promised."
The implementation of new tariffs could be a risky move for the president, who has regularly touted the ongoing economic expansion and his economic policies. The Washington Post found that, between July 2017 and May 2019, an increasing proportion of Trump proponents point to the economy as a reason for approving of Trump's job as president.
But his trade policies are negatively impacting economic growth. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pointed to trade policy uncertainty and slowing global growth on Wednesday when announcing the first federal funds rate since 2008. Despite the continuation of a record-length economic recovery, manufacturing activity slowed to levels near a three-year low in July. Guided by the first contraction in business investment in three years, the GDP increased 2.1 percent in the 2nd quarter, a full percent drop from the year's first three months.
And while Trump has also promised to bring American jobs back to the U.S., his trade policies toward Beijing likely won't accomplish that.
"We have been increasingly a services-oriented economy, and that is likely to continue," Lawrence White, an economics professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, told Newsweek last month, describing Trump's plans to revive the manufacturing sector a "pipe dream."
Instead, companies have begun shifting facilities to other countries, like Vietnam, while China levies retaliatory measures against the U.S. In addition to responding with its own tariffs, Beijing has lowered tariffs for America's rivals, putting U.S. businesses at a disadvantage.
