距离选举日还有14天,唐纳德·特朗普总统和前副总统乔·拜登(Joe Biden)将于11月3日竞选,选民提前投票的人数创下纪录。
大约3500万美国人已经投票在2020年的选举中,尽管面临着前所未有的障碍,但选民的参与程度和兴趣却非常高冠状病毒流行病。
在竞选活动的最后几周,总统仍然坚持自己的立场批准评级拖动。他本周主要在他2016年赢得的州举办集会,包括宾夕法尼亚州、北卡罗来纳州和佐治亚州。
拜登在民调中保持全国领先,这是他在选举中的最大领先优势五点三十八分的平均值在周四与特朗普的最后一场总统辩论之前,他本周没有安排任何公共活动。对于这位前副总统来说,在辩论之前保持中立是一种模式。
民意调查显示拜登在选举日之前有优势,特朗普在计划于11月3日投票的人中也有相当大的优势。几个月来,特朗普一直在邮寄投票过程中以及即将到来的选举结果中散布疑虑。
候选人之间的言辞预计将在纳什维尔的第二次也是最后一次摊牌前升温。
所有50个州加上华盛顿特区目前都在进行某种形式的提前投票。检验投票指南在新冠肺炎大流行期间。
10月20日,晚上9:51
特朗普在寒冷的集会上发表了比平时短的演讲
距离选举日整整两周,特朗普总统周二晚上在宾夕法尼亚州寒冷的伊利举行的拥挤的集会上发表了一次短于正常的讲话,尽管全国各地的病例激增,但他继续淡化这一流行病,并声称乔·拜登如果当选将带来“抑郁、厄运和绝望”。
特朗普整晚多次谈到天气有多冷(大约50度,刮风),周二晚上,他在亚利桑那州连续举行集会后只说了57分钟。在过去的几天里,安东尼·福奇博士(没有提到他)一直在对媒体大发雷霆,并呼吁将多个对手关押起来——按照特朗普的标准,总统周二晚上的讲话更温和。
总统抨击宾夕法尼亚州州长汤姆·沃尔夫(Tom Wolf)在冠状病毒大流行期间保持对该州的限制,没有完全开放经济,特朗普继续声称美国正在“扭转局面”,渴望恢复“正常生活”。
“我们正在扭转大流行的趋势——56%,这是一个记录。史诗般的就业增长。快速结束大流行的安全疫苗。结束了。正常的生活——这就是我们想要的,”他说。“你知道我们想要什么吗?正常生活。正常生活终将恢复,明年将是我国历史上最伟大的经济年。”
但根据COVID跟踪项目,美国远远没有“扭转局面”,超过41个州的新冠肺炎病例有所增加,42个州的住院病例有所增加。特朗普试图以佛罗里达州为例,说明该州以前出现了峰值,恢复并开放了经济,但该州现在的病例、阳性率、住院率和每日死亡人数也在增加。
“你知道,佛罗里达是开放的。特朗普说:“所有这些——佛罗里达州经历了一次浪潮,伟大的州长,浪潮平息了。“亚利桑那州有一个激增,下降了——伟大的州长。得克萨斯州曾有过一次暴涨,后来又下降了。你们从没打开过。宾夕法尼亚到底是怎么回事,对吧?”
原定出席的第一夫人梅兰妮·特朗普以取消由于持续的咳嗽。
10月20日,下午5:20
特朗普将在没有梅拉尼娅的情况下在宾夕法尼亚州竞选
特朗普在战场宾夕法尼亚州的民调中苦苦挣扎,目标是郊区妇女的选票,他曾希望妻子梅兰妮·特朗普在今晚的集会上给予帮助,但她“挥之不去的咳嗽”最近与冠状病毒的较量据第一夫人的女发言人说,她否决了这个计划。
相反,总统将在没有她的情况下前往宾夕法尼亚州东北部城市伊利,这是他试图捍卫2016年在宾夕法尼亚州险胜的一部分。不到2000张选票将他和他的民主党对手、前国务卿希拉里·克林顿分开。四年前,当时的总统巴拉克·奥巴马以近17%的优势赢得了该州。
最近的民调显示,前拜登在宾夕法尼亚州明显领先。在10月7日公布的昆尼皮亚克民意调查中,民主党候选人在可能的选民中领先13%。前一天公布的蒙莫斯大学的一项民意调查显示了类似的领先优势,拜登在注册选民中上升了12%。五点三十八分宾夕法尼亚民调平均值显示拜登领先6.4%。
Election 2020 updates: Trump delivers shorter-than-usual speech in chilly Pennsylvania
With 14 days to go until Election Day, and President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden racing toward Nov. 3, voters are turning out in record numbers to cast their ballots early.
Roughly 35 million Americans have alreadyvotedin the 2020 election, reflecting an extraordinary level of participation and interest despite unprecedented barriers brought on by thecoronaviruspandemic.
In the final weeks of campaigning, the president remains on defense as hisapproval rating drags. He's hosting rallies this week mostly in states he won in 2016 including Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia.
Biden, maintaining a nationwide lead in polls -- his largest lead of the election, according toFiveThirtyEight's average-- has no public events on his schedule this week so far ahead of Thursday's final presidential debate with Trump. Staying off the trail ahead of debates is a pattern for the former vice president.
Polls indicate a hugepre-Election-Day edge for Biden and a sizable Trump advantage among those who plan to vote on Nov. 3 itself. Trump has sowed doubt in the mail-in ballot process -- and imminent election results -- for months.
The rhetoric between candidates is expected to heat up ahead of their second and final showdown in Nashville.
All 50 states plus Washington, D.C., currently have some form of early voting underway. Check outFiveThirtyEight’s guide to votingduring the COVID-19 pandemic here.
Oct 20, 9:51 pm
Trump delivers shorter-than-usual speech at chilly rally
Exactly two weeks from Election Day, President Trump delivered a shorter-than-normal speech at a packed rally in cold Erie, Pennsylvania, Tuesday night where he continued to downplay the pandemic despite surging cases around the country and claimed Joe Biden would bring "depression, doom and despair" if elected.
Trump, who remarked how cold it was (about 50 degrees and windy) multiple times throughout the night, spoke for only 57 minutes Tuesday night after holding back-to-back rallies in Arizona on Sunday. After spending the last few days raging at the press, Dr. Anthony Fauci (who was not mentioned), and calling for multiple opponents to be locked up -- the president's speech Tuesday night was tamer by Trump's standards.
Supporters cheer as President Donald Trump departs following a campaign rally at Erie International Airport, Tom Ridge Field in Erie, Pa., Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2020.
The president blasted Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf for keeping restrictions on the state amid the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and not fully opening up the economy, with Trump continuing to claim that the U.S. is "rounding the turn" and eager to return to "normal life."
"We're rounding the turn on the pandemic -- 56%, and it's a record. Epic job growth. Safe vaccines that quickly end the pandemic. It’s ending. Normal life -- that's all we want," he said. "You know what we want? Normal life. Normal life will finally resume, and next year will be the greatest economic year in the history of our country."
But the U.S. is far from "rounding the turn" with over 41 states seeing increases in COVID-19 cases and 42 seeing an increase in hospitalizations, according to The COVID Tracking Project. Trump tried using Florida as an example of a state that previously saw a spike, recovered and opened up their economy, but the state is now also seeing an increase in cases, positivity rate, hospitalizations and daily deaths.
"You know, Florida’s open. All these -- Florida had a surge, great governor, surge went down," Trump said. "Arizona had a surge, went down -- great governor. Texas had a surge, went down. You guys never opened. What the hell is going on in Pennsylvania, right?"
First lady Melania Trump, who had been scheduled to appear, ended upcancelingdue to a lingering cough.
Oct 20, 5:20 pm
Trump to campaign in Pennsylvania without Melania
Struggling in the polls in battleground Pennsylvania and targeting the votes of suburban women, Trump had hoped for an assist from his wife Melania Trump at a rally this evening, but a "lingering cough" from herrecent bout with the coronavirusscuttled the plan, according to the first lady's spokeswoman.
Instead, the president will make the trip to the northeastern Pennsylvania city of Erie without her, part of an attempt to defend his narrow win in Pennsylvania in 2016. Fewer than 2,000 votes separated him from his Democratic opponent, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Four years earlier, then-President Barack Obama won the state by nearly 17%.
President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump on stage after the first presidential debate between Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, Sept. 29, 2020, in Cleveland.
Recent polls have shown former Biden with a clear lead in Pennsylvania. In a Quinnipiac poll released Oct. 7, the Democratic nominee led by 13% among likely voters. A poll from Monmouth University published the day prior showed a similar lead, with Biden up 12% among registered voters. FiveThirtyEight'sPennsylvania polling averageshows Biden leading by 6.4%.