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拜登在佛罗里达州领先特朗普6个百分点,但大多数人认为特朗普会赢

2020-05-17 10:17   美国新闻网   - 

民主党总统候选人乔·拜登在佛罗里达州领先唐纳德·特朗普6个百分点,该州是即将到来的11月大选的关键摇摆州。

在周五由佛罗里达大西洋大学商学院公布的一项民意调查中,这位前副总统获得了53%的佛罗里达选民的支持。在5月8日至12日的调查中,特朗普以47%的支持率落后于拜登6个百分点,这标志着3月份FAU民调的逆转,当时特朗普以51%的支持率领先于民主党候选人的49%。

这FAU民意测验在近1000名佛罗里达选民中,拜登在南佛罗里达地区(包括迈阿密戴德县、布劳沃德县和棕榈滩县)的支持率是特朗普的两倍多(61%对30%),而这三个县是奥巴马总统的马拉戈庄园所在地。但特朗普在该州其他地方领先民主党竞争者48至42个百分点。

拜登在佛罗里达州选民中的六个百分点的优势仍然没有让他的支持者相信他能赢:大约53%的佛罗里达人说他们相信特朗普今年会赢得连任。

尽管略高比例的佛罗里达独立受访者表示,他们更有可能投票给拜登,但更多倾向于特朗普的独立人士表示,他们对在11月支持他感到“兴奋”。

特朗普在2016年的总统选举中以1.2个百分点的优势击败希拉里·克林顿,赢得佛罗里达州49%的选票,她的得票率为47.8%。像拜登一样,克林顿在迈阿密周围人口稠密的南佛罗里达县获得了大量支持。

最近的一系列全国和州总统选举民调显示,拜登领先于特朗普,其中大部分调查是在佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯之后进行的退出比赛并在4月初向拜登提供了官方支持。

佛罗里达州共和党选民在FAU民调中提到的最重要的问题是经济,接下来就是总统的连任。在民主党人当中,击败特朗普是2020年选举中最重要的问题,其次是医疗保健。

FAU民调机构指出,这是一条有可能为他的竞选赢得更多兴奋的道路,但在接下来的几个月里,对于拜登应该选择谁作为他的副总统,几乎没有达成共识。在拜登的支持者中,大约四分之一(23%)的人说他们更喜欢他选择加州参议员卡马拉·哈里斯,而16%的人说他们希望看到马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦填补这个空缺。13%的拜登支持者说,他们希望看到克林顿以副总统的身份回来。

四月两次总统选举调查福克斯新闻和昆尼皮亚克大学在佛罗里达进行的调查发现,拜登在阳光州以微弱优势击败特朗普。圣彼得民意调查公司进行的一项调查发现,两位候选人势均力敌。

乔·拜登在佛罗里达州领先唐纳德·特朗普6个百分点,但大多数人仍然认为总统将赢得连任

 

JOE BIDEN LEADS TRUMP BY 6 POINTS IN FLORIDA, BUT MAJORITY STILL SAY PRESIDENT WILL WIN RE-ELECTION

Presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by six percentage points in Florida, a key swing state in the upcoming November general election.

The former vice president holds the support of 53 percent of Florida voters in a poll released Friday by Florida Atlantic University's College of Business. Trump falls six percentage points behind Biden with 47 percent of support in the May 8-12 survey, marking a reversal from the March FAU poll that saw Trump in the lead with 51 percent to the Democratic candidate's 49 percent.

The FAU poll of nearly 1,000 Florida voters found Biden has more than doubled Trump's support (61 percent to 30 percent) in the South Florida region--including Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties--home to the president's Mar-a-Lago estate. But Trump leads the Democratic contender in the rest of the state with a 48 to 42 percentage point difference.

Biden's six-point edge in support among Florida voters still hasn't persuaded his backers that he can win: about 53 percent of Floridians said they believe Trump will win re-election this year.

Although a slightly higher percentage of independent Florida respondents said they are more likely to vote for Biden, far more independents leaning toward Trump say they are "excited" to support him in November.

Trump won the state of Florida in the 2016 presidential election against Hillary Clinton by a 1.2 percentage point margin, pulling in 49 percent of the vote to her 47.8 percent. Like Biden, Clinton amassed much of her support in the heavily populated South Florida counties surrounding Miami.

A slew of recent national and state presidential election polls show Biden in the lead over Trump, with most of these surveys having been conducted after Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race and offered Biden his official endorsement in early April.

The most important issue cited by Florida Republican voters in the FAU poll was the economy, followed simply by the re-election of the president. Among Democrats, defeating Trump is the most important issue at stake in the 2020 election followed by health care.

Citing a potential path to garnering more excitement about his campaign, the FAU pollsters noted there is very little consensus on who Biden should pick as his vice president in the coming months. Among Biden supporters, about one-quarter (23 percent) said they would prefer he pick California Senator Kamala Harris, while 16 percent said they want to see Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren fill that spot. Thirteen percent of Biden backers said they want to see Clinton come back as his VP.

Two April presidential election surveys conducted in Florida by Fox News and Quinnipiac University found Biden defeating Trump in the Sunshine State by slim margins. A survey conducted by St. Pete Polls found the two candidates in a tie.

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 6 points in Florida, but a majority still say the president will win re-election

 

 

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