美国银行(Bank of America)首席执行官布莱恩·莫尼汉(Brian Moynihan)周日表示，他所在金融机构的分析师预计，直到2021年末，美国经济不会反弹至冠状病毒大流行之前的水平。
美国经济经历了几十年来最大的衰退，大流行导致全国各州领导人下令关闭除基本业务以外的所有业务，以遏制冠状病毒的传播。已经，大约2640万工人在不到两个月的时间内申请失业，这个数字高于2008年和2009年大萧条以来创造的所有就业机会。
出现在采访《哥伦比亚广播公司新闻》面向全国莫伊尼汉认为，在中国恢复增长之前，将会有几个季度的经济损失。
“我们的估计，我们的专家认为，到明年年底，经济将恢复到此前的规模，”该银行首席执行官解释道。他指出，已经有一些迹象表明，某些企业开始复苏，支出有所增加。
莫伊尼汉说:“这实际上给人们带来了一些希望，即随着经济安全地分块开放，你将看到消费者支出继续增长，这将有助于推动美国经济。”。他表示，国会支持失业救济、向大多数美国人提供刺激支票以及向陷入困境的企业提供援助的努力似乎产生了积极影响。
在单独采访随着福克斯周日新闻美国财政部长史蒂文·姆努钦乐观地预测，美国经济将在夏季开始反弹。
“我认为，当我们在5月和6月开始重新开放经济时，你会看到经济在7月和8月、9月真正反弹，”穆努钦说。他指出，政府已经向经济投入了“前所未有的财政救助”
位于华尔街的纽约证券交易所大楼于4月20日在纽约市拍摄
但是周五公布的国会预算办公室(CBO)的一份经济分析显示，到2021年底，失业率可能会保持在10%左右。该报告预计失业率目前接近14%，并将上升至16%。
从长远来看，在大萧条的高峰期，失业率在2009年上升到9.9%。其他经济专家预测失业率可能大幅上升，有些人甚至认为失业率可能达到30%。美国历史上最高的失业率出现在大萧条时期，1933年上升到24.9%。
BANK OF AMERICA CEO SAYS ECONOMY WON'T FULLY REBOUND FROM CORONAVIRUS FALLOUT UNTIL 'LATE NEXT YEAR'
Brian Moynihan, the CEO of Bank of America, said on Sunday that analysts at his financial institution do not expect the economy to rebound to the level it was at prior to the coronavirus pandemic until late in 2021.
The U.S. economy has taken its biggest downturn in decades, as the pandemic has led state leaders across the country to order all but essential businesses to shut down in an effort to curb the spread of the coronavirus. Already, some 26.4 million workers have filed for unemployment in less than two months, a higher number than all the jobs created since the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009.
Appearing in an interview with CBS News' Face the Nation, Moynihan suggested that there will be a couple quarters of economic losses before the country returns to seeing growth.
"Our estimates, our experts think it's late next year when the economy gets back to the same size it was prior to this," the bank CEO explained. He noted that there are already some signs that certain businesses are starting to come back and spending has increased.
"That actually provides some hope that as the economy opens up in pieces and safely, you'll see that consumer spending continue to grow, which will help fuel the U.S. economy," Moynihan said. He suggested that the efforts from Congress to shore-up unemployment benefits, provide stimulus checks to most Americns, and offer assistance to struggling businesses appears to have had a positive impact.
In a separate interview with Fox News Sunday, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin optimistically predicted that Americans would start seeing the economy rebound over the summer.
"I think as we begin to reopen the economy in May and June, you're going to see the economy really bounce back in July and August, September," Mnuchin said. He noted that the government has already put an "unprecedented amount of fiscal relief into the economy."
The New York Stock Exchange building on Wall Street is photographed on April 20 in New York City
But an economic analysis from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), which was published on Friday, suggested that unemployment could remain close to 10 percent by the end of 2021. The report projected that unemployment is currently close to 14 percent and will rise to 16 percent.
To put that in perspective, during the peak of the Great Recession, unemployment rose to a high of 9.9 percent in 2009. Other economic experts have projected that unemployment could rise substantially higher, with some even suggesting it could hit 30 percent. The highest level of unemployment recorded in U.S. history came during the Great Depression, when it rose to 24.9 percent in 1933.
