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能否再下一城?拜登美密歇根州初选民调大幅领先

2020-03-10 13:38  中国新闻网   - 

      据美国中文网报道,当地时间3月10日,美国密歇根州将举行初选投票,根据蒙茅斯大学的一项新民调,美国民主党总统竞选人、前副总统拜登以大幅度领先于其他民主党参选人。

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当地时间2月2日,美国民主党总统竞选人、前副总统拜登在艾奥瓦首府得梅因竞选造势。该州党团会议投票将于2月3日晚举行。中新社记者 陈孟统 摄

  据报道,9日的民调发现,拜登获得了51%的支持,而其头号对手、佛蒙特州参议员桑德斯仅为36%。拜登在“超级星期二”大获全胜以后,在密歇根州又很有可能收获丰富的选举人票。此前,“超级星期二”中拜登的绝地反击,使得他从几乎被淘汰的边缘,一举回到最有可能获提名的参选人的位置。

  但是蒙茅斯大学指出,密歇根州在2016年初选之前的民意调查出现大幅偏差,当时显示希拉里·克林顿在该州获得领先两位数的支持率,但最后桑德斯以微弱优势赢得了该州。

  根据蒙茅斯的民调,密歇根州的民主党主要选民中有一半是坚定的,而23%的人对其他参选人持开放态度,17%的人已经投票。

  根据民意调查,拜登和桑德斯在假设的大选对决中均领先特朗普,在所有已登记选民中,拜登领先特朗普7个百分点,桑德斯领先5个百分点。

  然而,昆尼皮亚克大学(Quinnipiac University)的一项民意调查发现,大多数密歇根州选民(57%)认为特朗普将于11月再次当选,而32%的人认为他将输给民主党候选人。

Can we have another city? Biden leads Michigan in primary polls

On March 10, local time, Michigan will hold a primary vote. According to a new poll from Monmouth University, Biden, the Democratic presidential candidate and former vice president of the United States, is ahead of other Democratic Party candidates by a large margin.

According to reports, a 9-day poll found that Biden won 51% of the support, while its No. 1 opponent, Senator Sanders of Vermont, only 36%. Biden's victory on Super Tuesday is likely to be followed by a rich electoral vote in Michigan. Before that, Biden's Jedi counterattack in Super Tuesday made him return to the most likely candidate position from the edge of being almost eliminated.
 
But Monmouth University points out that there was a big deviation in Michigan's polls before the 2016 primary, which showed Hillary Clinton had a double-digit lead in the state, but Sanders won the state by a narrow margin.
 
According to the Monmouth poll, half of Michigan's democratic main voters are determined, 23% are open to other candidates, and 17% have voted.
 
According to the public opinion survey, Biden and Sanders are both ahead of trump in the hypothetical general election contest, and Biden is 7 percentage points ahead of trump and Sanders is 5 percentage points ahead of trump among all registered voters.
 
However, a Quinnipiac University poll found that a majority of Michigan voters (57%) thought trump would be re elected in November, while 32% thought he would lose to Democratic candidates.

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