美国参议员伯尼·桑德斯目前是爱荷华州党团的热门人选,因为他在党团日前几周的州选举中领先。
根据新的得梅因登记册/有线电视新闻网/Mediacom爱荷华州民意测验20%的民主党人计划在核心小组投票,他们将桑德斯作为总统的首选。在民意测验中,佛蒙特州参议员超过了他最接近的竞争对手,得梅因称他“仍处于激烈的竞争中”。
塞尔泽公司在2020年1月2日至8日对701名“可能参加民主党核心会议的人”进行了调查。误差幅度为正负3.7个百分点,根据得梅因的说法。
塞尔泽公司总裁安·塞尔泽说:“不可否认,这是伯尼·桑德斯的一次好的民意测验,他领先,但也不是无可争议的领先。”。他对支持者的控制比他的其他同胞更为坚定。”
然而,该州仍有可能被争夺根据得梅因的说法顶尖的候选人“在这个周期的某个时候领先于爱荷华州的民意测验”。前副总统乔·拜登、南本德市长皮特·巴蒂吉格、桑德斯和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦在整个2020年竞选周期中一直保持领先地位,尽管没有人占据强大的领先地位,仍然是最受欢迎的。
2020年1月3日,爱荷华州阿纳莫萨,民主党总统候选人参议员伯尼·桑德斯在国家摩托车博物馆市政厅发表演讲。桑德斯在谈论国内问题和回答问题之前,谈到了伊朗将军卡西姆·森利亚尼遇害的最新消息。
另一方面,根据得梅因的说法,那些表示他们对候选人已经下定决心的人的比例已经上升到40%,比2019年11月上升了10个百分点。这使得45%的人说他们“仍然可以被说服支持其他人”,另外13%的人没有选择最喜欢的候选人。其他民主党候选人包括美国参议员艾米·克洛布查尔(6%)、科里·布克(3%)和企业家杨安泽(5%)。)
桑德斯也不能幸免于失去该州的支持者。根据民意测验,佛蒙特州参议员的支持者关心候选人的健康(49%)和他领导军队的能力(23%)。)桑德斯心脏病发作了2019年10月。
塞尔泽说:“核心小组进程是一种保持开放心态的邀请。”。根据得梅因的说法,爱荷华州的民意调查在2016年同一时间产生了“相似数量的未决核心选民”,这次是共和党。
核心小组程序有助于决定在2020年美国总统选举中,哪些候选人将被选为民主党候选人。在党团日的第一次投票后,任何在选区中得不到至少15%选票的候选人都会被淘汰,最初支持他们的人会最后一次再次投票。
爱荷华州核心小组是第一次初选,将于2020年2月3日举行。希望投票的人需要填写选民登记表把它还给他们的县审计办公室根据爱荷华州国务卿的网站。
表格必须签名——如果有人不能在表格上签名,他们可以使用橡皮图章或他们经常使用的标记。大学生可以在他们的家庭住址或大学住址登记投票。
根据爱荷华州国务卿网站,注册需要在会议召开前11天完成。
新闻周刊已联系桑德斯和拜登竞选团队,就佛蒙特州参议员的领先地位发表评论。
BERNIE SANDERS LEADS IN IOWA POLL WEEKS BEFORE IOWA CAUCUSES
US. Senator Bernie Sanders is the current favorite for the Iowa caucuses as he has taken the lead in a recent poll for the state weeks before Caucus Day.
According to a new Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa poll, 20 percent of likely Democrats planning to vote in the caucus name Sanders as their first choice for president. In the poll, the Vermont senator overtakes his closest competitors who Des Moines reports "remain locked in a tight contest".
The poll of 701 "likely Democratic caucusgoers", conducted by Selzer & Co., took place between January 2 and 8, 2020. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, according to Des Moines.
"There's no denying that this is a good poll for Bernie Sanders," says J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co. "He leads, but it's not an uncontested lead. He's got a firmer grip on his supporters than the rest of his compatriots."
However, the state could be still up for grabs as according to Des Moines the top cluster of candidates has "led the Iowa poll at some point this cycle". Former Vice President, Joe Biden, South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sanders and Senator Elizabeth Warren have remained clustered atop throughout the 2020 campaign cycle, though no one has taken a strong lead and remained favorite.
Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) speaks at town hall at the National Motorcycle Museum on January 3, 2020 in Anamosa, Iowa. Sen. Sanders remarked on the recent news about the killing of Iranian General Qasem Solemiani before talking about domestic issues and taking questions.
On the other hand, according to Des Moines, the percentage of those who say their mind is made up on their candidate has risen to 40 percent — up 10 percentage points from November 2019. That leaves 45 percent who say they "could still be persuaded to support someone else" and another 13 percent who have not picked a favorite candidate. The other Democratic Party candidates include U.S. Senators Amy Klobuchar (six percent) and Cory Booker (three percent) and entrepreneur Andrew Yang (five percent.)
Sanders also isn't immune to losing supporters in the state. According to the poll, the Vermont senator's supporters are concerned about the candidate's health (49 percent) as well as his ability to lead the military (23 percent.) Sanders had a heart attack in October 2019.
"The caucus process is an invitation to keep an open mind," Selzer says. According to Des Moines, the Iowa poll produced "similar numbers of undecided caucusgoers" at the same point during 2016, this time for the Republican Party.
The caucus process helps determine which candidates will be chosen to contend for the Democrat Party in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. After the first vote on Caucus Day, any candidates who don't receive at least 15 percent in a precinct get dropped, and people who initially backed them get to vote again for a final time.
The Iowa caucus is the first one of the primaries and will take place on February 3, 2020. People who wish to vote need to register by completing a voter registration form and return it to their county auditor's office, according to the Iowa Secretary of State website.
The form must be signed—if someone is not physically able to sign the form, they can use a rubber stamp or a mark they use regularly. College students can register to vote either at their home address or at their college address.
According to the Iowa Secretary of State website, registration needs to be done 11 days before the caucus.
Newsweek has reached out to the Sanders and Biden campaigns for comment on the Vermont senator's lead.