传统观点认为，2020年总统竞选将由国内问题主导，从经济到医疗保健。也就是说，直到冲动暗杀圣城部队的伊朗领导人卡西姆·苏莱曼尼将军。伊朗有退出核交易。伊拉克人议会投票支持美国离开这个国家为伊斯兰国的再次崛起打开了大门。随着紧张局势在世界各地持续加剧，2020年选举的标志性议题将是外交政策。
苏莱曼尼在整个中东地区协助和教唆恐怖分子和反美民兵，以推进伊朗版本的倒退。然而，还不清楚特朗普政府想要实现什么——以及它将如何(或是否)遏制余波。这呼应了唐纳德·特朗普的粗心大意放弃几个月前我们在叙利亚的库尔德盟友，直到他摇摆不定，最终决定他们可能有用保护石油储备。
指出特朗普对自我推销并不陌生是老生常谈。但是，关于与中国贸易协议第一阶段的吹嘘近乎妄想。特朗普政府吹嘘说，中国将开始购买价值500亿美元的农产品——这种成就完全是为了在爱荷华州赢得选票。然而，这并不符合炒作。在一个采访随着《华尔街日报》首选商品公司的农业营销顾问戴夫·马歇尔(Dave Marshall)针对中国说，“他们需要美国猪肉，他们需要美国大豆。他们需要500亿美元的农产品吗？绝对不行。”
特朗普抛弃了我们的盟友(如库尔德人)，与我们的对手(如俄罗斯)结盟，并向国际体系中一些最无情的行为者投降。
鉴于此次选举很可能由外交政策问题主导，我们需要接替特朗普的总统是乔·拜登。所有其他民主党候选人都有他们的优点，但他们缺乏外交政策经验、专业知识，最重要的是，在关键时刻要做好。
对拜登来说，外交政策不需要在职培训。他在促成伊朗核协议、组建反对伊斯兰国的多国联盟以及与俄罗斯签署新裁武条约方面发挥了核心作用。作为一名参议员，他支持结束1990年代巴尔干地区令人发指的种族灭绝战争的立法行动。
许多前副总统的批评者认为，如果他赢得提名，他将会被乌克兰迅速击败。但是在作为巴拉克·奥巴马竞选伙伴的两次大选胜利后，乔·拜登证明了他知道如何反击。不仅没有证据表明他没有做错什么，而且这将被证明是一场激烈的审判，使他成为更强有力的大选候选人。
唐纳德·特朗普向美国人承诺，他们会经常获胜，他们会厌倦的。尽管特朗普有可能赢得参议院对他的审判，但我们知道他的连任是美国无法承受的冒险赌注。乔·拜登是最有准备的候选人，能够从本届政府留下的废墟中建立一个更好、更强大的世界秩序。
艾伯特·沃尔夫博士是库尔德斯坦美国大学的院长。他是美国众议院前立法助理。他可以在@albertwolf82被跟踪。
这篇文章中表达的观点是作者自己的。{\\ lang 1033 \\ f 6527 。}
JOE BIDEN IS THE ONLY CANDIDATE FIT TO CONTEST TRUMP IN WHAT IS NOW A FOREIGN POLICY ELECTION
The conventional wisdom had been the 2020 Presidential race would be dominated by domestic issues, from the economy to healthcare. That is, up until the impulsive assassination of Gen. Qassem Soleimani, the Iranian head of the Al-Quds Force. Iran has pulled out of the nuclear deal. The Iraqi parliament has voted for the U.S. to leave the country, opening the door for ISIS' reemergence. As tensions continue to build throughout the world, the 2020 election's signature issue will be foreign policy.
Soleimani aided and abetted terrorists and anti-American militias throughout the Middle East in furtherance of an Iranian version of rollback. However, it is unclear what the Trump Administration wanted to accomplish—and how (or whether) it will contain the fallout. This echoes Donald Trump's careless abandonment of our Kurdish allies in Syria a few months ago, until he flip-flopped and decided they might be useful after all—in guarding oil reserves.
It's a cliché to point out Trump is no stranger to self-promotion. But, the boasting about the first stage of a trade deal with China verges on the delusional. The Trump Administration bragged that China would start buying $50 billion worth of agricultural products—the type of accomplishment aimed squarely at winning votes in Iowa. However, it does not meet the hype. In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Dave Marshall, a farm marketing advisor with First Choice Commodities said with respect to China, "They need U.S. pork, they need U.S. soybeans. Do they need $50 billion of agricultural goods? Absolutely not."
Trump has abandoned our allies (such as the Kurds), allied with our adversaries (such as Russia), and capitulated to some of the most ruthless actors in the international system.
Given that this election is likely to be dominated by foreign policy issues, the President that we need to succeed Trump is Joe Biden. The all other Democratic candidates have their virtues, but they are lacking foreign policy experience, expertise, and, most importantly, getting it right when it counts.
For Biden, foreign policy would not require on-the-job training. He played a central role in bringing about the Iran nuclear deal, assembling the multi-national coalition against ISIS, and worked to ratify the New START treaty with Russia. As a Senator, he quarterbacked legislative action to bring an end to the heinous genocidal wars in the Balkans during the 1990s.
Many of the former Vice President's critics posit that should he win the nomination, he will be swift-boated by Ukraine. But after two general election victories as Barack Obama's running mate, Joe Biden demonstrated that he knows how to punch back. Not only is there no proof that he did nothing wrong, but this is going to prove to be a trial by fire and make him a stronger candidate for the general election.
Donald Trump promised Americans that they would be winning so often they would get tired of it. While Trump is likely to win his trial in the Senate, we know that his reelection is a risky bet America cannot afford. Joe Biden is the best prepared candidate to build a better, stronger world order out of the wreckage this administration would leave behind.
Dr. Albert B. Wolf is the Dean of the American University of Kurdistan. He is a former Legislative Assistant in the U.S. House of Representatives. He can be followed at @albertwolf82.
The views expressed in this article are the author's own.
