根据一项民意调查，在伊斯兰共和国向美国和联军驻扎的伊拉克军事基地发射导弹之前，美国人认为美国很可能在未来几年内与伊朗开战。

民意测验由路透社和益普索·莫里在美国刺杀伊朗将军卡西姆·苏莱曼尼后的三天里，对美国成年人进行的调查发现，71%的人认为美国和伊朗很有可能在几年内发生战争。相比之下，2019年5月只有51%的美国人持相同观点，三分之一的人表示这种情况不太可能发生。

回应关于这个问题的最新民意调查，只有17%的人说美国和伊朗之间的战争在他们看来不太可能，5%的人说这种可能性“根本不可能”

尽管民主党人更有可能告诉民意测验专家，在未来几年内，与伊朗的战争“非常有可能”，但在这个问题上存在一定程度的跨党派共识。十分之七的共和党人认为冲突是可能的，77%的民主党人同意这一观点。

当被问及他们认为伊朗有多大的威胁时，在1到5分的范围内，1分表示“没有威胁”，5分表示“迫在眉睫的威胁”，十分之四的人将伊朗列为对美国的“迫在眉睫的威胁”，只有4%的人表示“没有威胁”

这些数字标志着2019年5月进行的一项类似调查增加了17个百分点，调查发现只有24%的美国人认为伊朗是“迫在眉睫的威胁”

在对益普索民意测验专家谈到“先发制人攻击伊朗军事利益”的前景时，人们发现对侵略性演习没有什么兴趣。略多于四分之一(27%)的人说美国应该先发制人地打击伊朗，而41%的人反对任何此类措施——5月份下降了19个百分点。

当被问及美国应该如何应对假设的伊朗对军队的袭击时，只有8%的美国人说“只有外交”是最好的选择，而34%的美国人支持通过空袭对伊朗军事目标做出“有限的军事回应”。

2020年1月7日，伊朗哀悼者聚集在家乡克尔曼，为被杀害的最高将军卡西姆·索莱马尼举行葬礼。

37%的人支持“全面军事反应”，包括美国地面部队入侵伊朗以及空袭。

路透社/益普索民意调查于1月3日至6日进行，抽样调查了1005名美国成年人，人口统计数据反映了美国人口。民意测验专家称，访谈是在网上进行的，调查的误差幅度为3.5%。

投票于周一结束的第二天，伊朗军队向伊拉克空军基地发射导弹容纳美国和盟军。在编写本报告时，没有人员伤亡的报道。

路透社/益普索的另一项民意调查显示，在索莱马尼遇刺后但在伊朗导弹袭击做出回应之前，大多数美国人对特朗普总统对伊朗的处理方式不满意，如下图所示Statista。

1月3日星期五，在巴格达国际机场附近的一次无人驾驶飞机袭击中，伊朗革命卫队称其是此次袭击的幕后黑手，并称之为“对前圣城军领导人卡西姆·苏莱曼尼被野蛮暗杀的报复”。

导弹袭击后，伊朗外交部长穆罕默德·贾韦德·扎里夫说，伊朗已经”缔结相称的自卫措施并没有寻求与美国的“升级或战争”。

特朗普总统昨晚在推特上发表声明称一切都好！从伊朗向位于伊拉克的两个军事基地发射导弹。伤亡和损失评估正在进行。迄今为止，一切顺利！迄今为止，我们拥有世界上最强大、装备最精良的军队！明天早上我将发表声明。"

71 PERCENT OF AMERICANS BELIEVE WAR WITH IRAN IS 'LIKELY' WITHIN NEXT FEW YEARS: POLL

Americans believe it is likely that the United States will go to war with Iran within the next few years, according to a poll conducted before the Islamic Republic fired missiles on Iraqi military bases housing U.S. and coalition forces.

The poll by Reuters and Ipsos Mori surveying American adults in the three days following the U.S. assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani found that 71 percent believed it was very or somewhat likely that the U.S. and Iran would be at war within a few years. By comparison, only 51 percent of Americans said had the same view in May 2019, with a third saying the scenario was not likely.

Responding to the latest poll on the issue, just 17 percent said war between the U.S. and Iran was unlikely in their view, with 5 percent describing the possibility as "not at all likely."

Although Democrats were more likely to tell pollsters that war with Iran was "very likely" in the next few years, there was a degree of cross-party consensus on the issue. Exactly seven in ten Republicans said conflict was likely, and 77 percent of Democrats shared that view.

When asked to rank how much of a threat they viewed Iran to be on a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 being "no threat" and 5 being "imminent threat," four in ten ranked the country as an "imminent threat" to the United States, while only 4 percent said it was "no threat."

These figures marked a 17 percentage point increase on a similar poll conducted in May 2019, which found just 24 percent of Americans viewed Iran as an "imminent threat."

Speaking to Ipsos pollsters about the prospect of a "preemptive attack on Iranian military interests," little appetite was found for aggressive maneuvers. A little more than a quarter (27 percent) said America should hit Iran with a "preemptive" strike, while 41 percent opposed any such measure—a 19 point dip on May.

Asked how the U.S. should respond to a hypothetical Iranian attack on military forces, just 8 percent of Americans said "diplomacy only" was the best option, while 34 percent backed a "limited military response" on Iranian military targets with airstrikes.

Iranian mourners gather for the burial of slain top general Qassem Soleimani in his hometown Kerman on January 7, 2020.

37 percent backed a "full military response" include an invasion of Iran by U.S. ground troops in addition to airstrikes.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted between January 3-6 with a sample of 1,005 American adults, with demographics to reflect the U.S. population. Interviews were conducted online and the survey's margin of error is 3.5 percent, according to pollsters.

A day after the poll closed on Monday, Iranian forces fired missiles at air bases in Iraq housing U.S. and allied troops. At the time of writing, no casualties have been reported.

Another Reuter/Ipsos poll showed that after the assassination of Soleimani but prior to the responding Iranian missile attack, a majority of Americans were unhappy with President Trump's handling of Iran, as illustrated in the graphic below provided by Statista.The Iranian Revolutionary Guard said it was behind the strike, dubbing it "revenge for the brutal assassination" of former Quds Force leader Qassem Soleimani in a drone strike near Baghdad International Airport on Friday, January 3.

Following the missile attack, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Javed Zarif said Iran had "concluded proportionate measures in self-defense" and did not seek "escalation or war" with the United States.

In a statement posted to Twitter last night, President Trump said: "All is well! Missiles launched from Iran at two military bases located in Iraq. Assessment of casualties & damages taking place now. So far, so good! We have the most powerful and well equipped military anywhere in the world, by far! I will be making a statement tomorrow morning."