根据一项新的民意调查,民主党总统候选人皮特·巴蒂吉在爱荷华州的党团会议中以九个百分点的优势领先。
新的得梅因登记册/有线电视新闻网/媒体通讯调查该报告于周六晚上发表,显示印第安纳州南本德市市长巴蒂吉格是该州25%核心小组与会者的首选。紧随其后的是马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,他以16%的得票率位居第二,落后巴蒂吉9个百分点。前副总统乔·拜登和佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯并列第三,支持率为15%。
蒙莫斯大学上周公布的一项民意调查也显示,尽管没有那么强势,但巴蒂格在爱荷华州处于领先地位。在那项调查中,南本德市长的支持率为22%,紧随其后的是拜登,支持率为19%。沃伦和桑德斯分别占18%和13%。两项民意调查的综合结果表明,巴蒂吉格目前显然是该州的领先者。
11月16日,民主党总统候选人印第安纳州南本德市市长皮特·巴蒂吉在加利福尼亚州长滩举行的2019年秋季民主党支持大会上发表讲话
最新的新闻注册民意调查显示,对民主党最高候选人的支持明显重组。9月份,同样的调查显示沃伦以22%的支持率领先,紧随其后的是拜登和桑德斯,分别为20%和11%。没有其他候选人获得两位数的选票,但是巴蒂吉以9%的选票位列第四。
最新的爱荷华州民意测验与全国民意测验形成对比,全国民意测验总体上显示拜登保持领先地位,而巴蒂吉则排在第四位。《真实清晰政治》汇编的当前全国民调平均显示,拜登的支持率平均为26%,其次是沃伦的支持率为20.8%,桑德斯的支持率为17.8%。但是数字是一位数,只有8%。
J.主持最新民意调查的塞尔泽公司总裁安·塞尔泽(Ann Selzer)指出,这是Buttigieg的“新地位”。
“有四名候选人在一起挤来挤去,但他以相当大的优势领先最近的竞争者——9分,”她说注册。
但是,在所有候选人中,伊吉格的支持率最高,为72%。沃伦紧随其后,为71%。64%的受访者看好拜登,桑德斯的支持率为61%。
拜登和巴蒂吉也被认为是前四名候选人中最温和的,63%的人认为南本德市长“差不多是对的”,而不是“太自由”或“太保守”55%的受访者对拜登的回答相同,但28%的受访者认为他“过于保守”。
相反,桑德斯和沃伦被许多人视为“过于自由”,38%的人这样定义沃伦,53%的人也这么说桑德斯。然而,48%的人说沃伦“差不多是对的”,而只有37%的人认为桑德斯符合这个定义。
PETE BUTTIGIEG LEADING DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES BY 9 POINTS IN IOWA, NEW POLL SHOWS
Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg has jumped to a commanding nine-point lead among Iowa caucus goers, according to a new poll.
The new Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom survey, which was published on Saturday evening, showed Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Indiana, as the first choice for 25 percent of the state's caucus attendees. He was trailed by Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, who came in second with 16 percent, nine points behind Buttigieg. Former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont tied for third place, with 15 percent.
A poll released by Monmouth University last week also showed Buttigieg in the lead in Iowa, albeit a less commanding one. In that survey, the South Bend mayor had 22 percent, trailed by Biden with 19 percent. Warren and Sanders had 18 percent and 13 percent respectively. Combined, the insights from the two polls, suggest that Buttigieg is currently the clear front-runner in the state.
Democratic presidential hopeful, South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg speaks at the California Democratic Party 2019 Fall Endorsing Convention in Long Beach, California on November 16
The latest Register poll shows a clear reshuffling of support for the top Democratic candidates. In September, the same survey had Warren leading the pack with 22 percent, followed by Biden with 20 percent and Sanders at 11 percent. No other candidates polled in the double digits, but Buttigieg came in fourth at 9 percent.
The latest Iowa polls stand in contrast to national polls, which generally show Biden maintaining a commanding lead, while Buttigieg places fourth overall. A current average of national polls compiled by Real Clear Politics shows Biden with an average of 26 percent support, followed by Warren at 20.8 percent, then Sanders with 17.8 percent. Buttigieg is in the single digits, with just 8 percent.
J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the latest poll, pointed out that this is a "new status" for Buttigieg.
"There have been four candidates that have sort of jostled around in a pack together, but he has a sizable lead over the nearest contender — 9 points," she said, according to the Register.
Buttigieg also had the highest favorability of all the candidates, at 72 percent. Warren was close behind however, at 71 percent. Biden was viewed favorably by 64 percent of respondents, while Sanders was at 61 percent.
Biden and Buttigieg were also viewed as the most moderate of the top four candidates, with 63 percent saying the South Bend mayor was "about right," and not "too liberal" or "too conservative." Biden got the same response from 55 percent, but was viewed as "too conservative" by 28 percent of respondents.
Sanders and Warren, conversely, were viewed by many as "too liberal," with 38 percent defining Warren this way, and 53 percent saying the same of Sanders. However, 48 percent said that Warren was "about right," whereas just 37 percent thought Sanders fit that definition.