随着美国人周二前往中期投票的最后一天，候选人正在向高风险的众议院和参议院选举中的选民发出最后的呼吁，这些选举将决定国会的权力平衡，目前共和党人控制着两院。
权力平衡的转变可能会抑制唐纳德·特朗普总统的行政影响力，并可能在总体上对国内外政策产生重大影响不受欢迎的美国对伊朗战争，不断攀升的通货膨胀和创纪录的高油价这让美国家庭感到紧张。
以下是一些关键的参议院、众议院和州长竞选，可以帮助确定2026年中期选举的结果：
关键的参议院竞选
2026年中期选举期间，将有35个参议院席位，但在战场州和传统的共和党州的几场竞争的结果将决定明年哪个政党将控制国会参议院。
一些竞争最激烈、影响最大的参议员竞选正在酝酿之中在密歇根、德克萨斯、阿拉斯加、俄亥俄和堪萨斯等州。
共和党目前拥有53个席位，民主党拥有45个席位，此外还有独立参议员伯尼·桑德斯和安格斯·金，他们也与民主党进行了党团会议，总共获得47个席位。
民主党人需要赢得另外四个席位来改变权力平衡，而共和党人可以失去最多三个席位，并在副总统万斯（JD Vance）的平局投票中保持多数。
在中期选举中，特朗普不仅在密歇根州、佐治亚州和北卡罗来纳州等战场州为共和党候选人竞选，还在得克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、南卡罗来纳州、佛罗里达州、爱荷华州、堪萨斯州和北卡罗来纳州等更可靠的共和党州开始了红色州的竞选密西西比河．
当被问及他为支持密西西比州共和党参议员辛迪·海德·史密斯（Cindy Hyde-Smith）所做的努力时，特朗普说，他“不能冒险”。
密歇根：这场竞选是前共和党众议员迈克·罗杰斯（Mike Rogers）和前公共卫生官员阿卜杜勒·赛义德（Abdul El-Sayed）之间的激烈斗争，阿卜杜勒·赛义德是这场竞选中的进步人士，突显了美国对以色列支持的分歧，并使赛义德在亲以色列团体的攻击中处于守势。在选举日的前几天，一个意外的支持对于罗杰斯来说，El-Sayed的民主党初选对手Haley Stevens搅乱了一场已经充满争议的比赛，民主党人批评Stevens，共和党人欢迎她的支持。
德克萨斯州：上一次民主党赢得美国参议院选举是在1988年。州司法部长肯·帕克斯顿正在与民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科进行激烈的竞争，詹姆斯·塔拉里科是前州众议员和长老会神学院学生。帕克斯顿在对塔拉里科的攻击中卷入了文化战争，而这位民主党人一直将他的信息放在经济前沿和中心，并批评司法部长一系列政治丑闻影响了帕克斯顿的职业生涯。
阿拉斯加：现任共和党人丹·沙利文正在与前民主党众议员玛丽·佩尔托拉竞选，另一个同名的候选人在这场异常激烈的竞选中，谁是独立候选人在这个优先选择投票的州。
缅因州：缅因州共和党参议员苏珊·科林斯是一位温和派，在与民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊的竞争中捍卫自己的席位，是前缅因州参议院主席和多数党领袖。
俄亥俄州：现任共和党人约翰·胡斯德（John Husted）和前参议员谢罗德·布朗（Sherrod Brown）在2024年的连任竞选中失利，正在为重返参议院的机会而斗争，美国广播公司新闻频道（ABC News）认为这场比赛胜负难料。
堪萨斯州：特朗普在2024年以较大优势赢得该州后，这场比赛预计不会有竞争力。现任共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔正在与全国最大的联合卫理公会高级牧师民主党人亚当·汉密尔顿对抗。
也值得一看：民调还显示，在共和党更为可靠的州，比如南卡罗来纳州、内布拉斯加州和密西西比州自1982年以来，没有民主党人当选为美国参议员。
关键的众议院比赛
众议院的所有435个席位将于周二在第120届国会进行为期两年的投票美国广播公司新闻频道认为胜负难分的14个席位将是决定明年众议院权力平衡的关键。
值得关注的主要比赛正在进行科罗拉多州，爱荷华州，密歇根，蒙大拿，纽约，俄亥俄州，宾夕法尼亚州和弗吉尼亚，而其他一些重要的竞选是在2005年共和党立法机构重新划分的国会选区佛罗里达阿拉巴马州，肯塔基和弗吉尼亚。
为了改变权力平衡，民主党至少需要获得三个席位。
由路易斯安那州议长迈克·约翰逊领导的共和党党团目前以220个席位的微弱优势超过民主党，而民主党有215个席位。
在特朗普第一个任期（2021 - 2023年）的第117届国会期间，民主党人最后一次控制了两院旨在通过选举至少100名民主党女性来创造历史这将创造一个新的记录。
在众议院的435个席位中，目前有125个由女性占据，包括95名民主党人和30名共和党人。
在14场胜负难料的竞选中，7名民主党女性与共和党对手展开角逐。
关键的州长竞选
几位女性州长候选人能够打破这个选举周期的障碍．
共有26名女性获得主要政党提名，比2022年的25名纪录多一名，其中包括19名民主党人和7名共和党人。
在…里得克萨斯州吉娜·伊诺霍萨可能成为第一位拉丁裔州长。在…里新墨西哥州前内政部长黛比·哈兰将成为第一位担任州长的美国土著女性。而在格鲁吉亚Keisha Lance Bottoms可能成为该州第一位女州长，也是第一位管理任何一个州的黑人女性。
而在俄亥俄州民主党提名人艾米·阿克顿（Amy Acton）将成为俄亥俄州的第一位女州长，她正在与共和党提名人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米（Vivek Ramaswamy）对决。
拉马斯瓦米面临两党的强烈反对有争议的攻击广告反对阿克顿，因为她疏远的母亲称她为骗子。
阿克顿，她曾公开表示自己是性虐待的受害者，她说她的母亲支持那个被指控在她小时候对她进行性虐待的男人，这个男人在2004年去世。
在选举日之前的最后一搏中，特朗普和前总统巴拉克·奥巴马（Barack Obama）——最后一位连任两届的民主党总统——直接吸引选民，出现在集会上，在竞争激烈的竞选中支持国会和州长候选人。
10月24日，奥巴马出现在阿克顿的集会上，他敦促选民通过行使投票权来发泄他们的不满。
“他们听不到你的嘘声。他们听到了你的投票，”他说。
在中期投票之前，特朗普在9月9日的共和党中期大会上宣布，如果共和党继续控制众议院和参议院，他将向成年美国人提供5000美元的现金支付，他称之为“特朗普红利”。
虽然一些批评者认为这一提议是贿赂，但总统为其辩护，并在竞选集会上重申了这一承诺。当美国广播公司新闻（ABC News）追问这一提议时，他否认承诺这笔款项是为了鼓励选民投票，并声称政府将通过经济“增长”来支付这笔费用。
总统上周出现在德克萨斯州科珀斯克里斯蒂的一次集会上，敦促他的支持者上下投票支持共和党。
“我们将从上到下选举共和党人，”他说。“我们需要那一票，否则，我们所做的所有伟大的事情都会很快改变。”
High-stakes midterms are test for future of Congress and Trump's presidency
As Americans head to the polls for the final day of midterm voting on Tuesday， candidates are making their final appeals to voters in high-stakes House and Senate races that will determine the balance of power in Congress， where Republicans currently control both chambers．
A shift in the balance of power could curb the executive influence of President Donald Trump and could have meaningful implications on domestic and foreign policy amid a generallyunpopular U．S． war with Iran，climbing inflation and record high fuel pricesthat have strained American households．
Here＇s a look at some key Senate， House and gubernatorial races to watch that could help define the outcome of the 2026 midterms：
Key Senate races
Thirty-five Senate seats are in play during the 2026 midterms， but the outcome of a few competitive races in both battleground and traditionally Republican states， will determine which party will control the upper chamber of Congress next year．
Some of the most competitive and consequential Senate contests are brewingin states like Michigan， Texas， Alaska， Ohio and Kansas．
Republicans currently hold 53 seats， while Democrats have 45 seats， in addition to independent senators Bernie Sanders and Angus King， who also caucus with the Democratic Party， giving them a total of 47．
Democrats need to win four additional seats to shift the balance of power， while Republicans can afford to lose up to three seats and keep the majority， with the tie-breaking vote of Vice President JD Vance．
Leading into the midterms， Trump has not only campaigned for Republican candidates in battleground states like Michigan， Georgia and North Carolina， but has also embarked on a red-state push in more reliably Republican states like Texas， Ohio， South Carolina， Florida， Iowa， Kansas andMississippi．
Asked about his effort to bolster Mississippi Republican Sen． Cindy Hyde-Smith， who is defending her seat against Democratic District Attorney Scott Colom， Trump said， he ＂can＇t take a chance．＂
Michigan：This race has been a bitter fight between former GOP Rep． Mike Rogers and former public health official Abdul El-Sayed， a progressive in a race that has highlighted the divide over U．S． support for Israel and has put El-Sayed on the defensive amid attacks from pro-Israel groups． And days before Election Day， a surprise endorsementfor Rogers from El-Sayed＇s Democratic primary opponent， Haley Stevens， roiled an already contentious race， with Democrats criticizing Stevens and Republicans welcoming her support．
Texas：The last time a Democrat won a U．S． Senate election was in 1988． State Attorney General Ken Paxton is running a close race against Democrat James Talarico， a former state representative and Presbyterian seminarian． Paxton has waded into the culture wars in his attacks against Talarico， while the Democrat has kept his message on the economy front and center and criticized the attorney general over aseries of political scandalsthat have embroiled Paxton＇s career．
Alaska：Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan is running against former Democratic Rep． Mary Peltola，another candidate with the same namewho is on the ticket as an independent in a surprisingly close racein this ranked-choice voting state．
Maine：Longtime Maine Republican Sen． Susan Collins， a moderate， is defending her seat in a competitive race against Democrat Troy Jackson， a former Maine Senate president and majority leader．
Ohio：Incumbent Republican John Husted and former Sen． Sherrod Brown， who lost his 2024 re-election bid， are fighting for a chance to return to the Senate in a race that ABC News rates toss-up．
Kansas：This race was not expected to be competitive after Trump won the state by a large margin in 2024． Incumbent Republican Sen． Roger Marshall is facing off against Democrat Adam Hamilton， senior pastor of the largest United Methodist congregation in the nation．
Also worth watching：Polls also show close races in more reliably Republican states likeSouth Carolina， Nebraska and Mississippi， where no Democrat has been elected to the U．S． Senate since 1982．
Key House races
All 435 seats of the House of Representatives are on the ballot on Tuesday for two-year terms in the 120th Congress， but14 of those seats that ABC News rates as toss-upare going to be crucial to determining the balance of power in the House next year．
Key races to watch are inColorado，Iowa，Michigan，Montana，New York，Ohio，PennsylvaniaandVirginia， while a handful of other consequential races are in congressional districts that were redrawn by Republican legislatures inAlabama， Florida，KentuckyandVirginia．
To shift the balance of power， Democrats need to gain at least three seats．
The Republican caucus， led by Speaker Mike Johnson of Louisiana， currently holds a slim majority over Democrats with 220 seats， while Democrats have 215．
Democrats， who last controlled both chambers during the 117th Congress in Trump＇s first term （2021--2023）， areaiming to make history by electing at least 100 Democratic womento the House， which would set a new record．
Out of 435 seats in the House， 125 are currently held by women， including 95 Democrats and 30 Republicans．
In the 14 toss-up races， seven Democratic women are running against Republican opponents．
Key gubernatorial races
Several female gubernatorial nomineescould break barriers this election cycle．
Twenty-six women are major-party nominees overall， one more than the 2022 record of 25， including 19 Democrats and seven Republicans．
InTexas， Gina Hinojosa could become the first Latina governor． InNew Mexico， former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland would be the first Native American woman to serve as a governor． And inGeorgia， Keisha Lance Bottoms could become the state＇s first woman governor and the first Black woman to govern any state．
And inOhio， Democratic nominee Amy Acton， who would be Ohio＇s first female governor， is facing off against Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy．
Ramaswamy faced bipartisan backlash fora controversial attack adagainst Acton that featured her estranged mother calling her liar．
Acton，who has spoken out about being a victim of sexual abuse， said that her mother stood by the man who criminally charged with sexually abusing her as a child before his death in 2004．
In a final push before Election Day， Trump and former President Barack Obama -- the last Democratic president to serve two terms -- have made direct appeals to voters， appearing at rallies to bolster congressional and gubernatorial candidates in competitive races．
Obama， who appeared at a rally for Acton on Oct． 24， urged voters to channel their frustration by exercising their right to vote．
＂They can＇t hear your boos． They hear your vote，＂ he said．
Ahead of midterm voting， Trump announced at the GOP＇s midterm convention on Sept． 9 that he would give adult Americans a $5，000 cash payment that he called the ＂Trump Dividend＂ if Republicans keep control of the House and Senate．
While some critics cast this proposal as a bribe， the president has defended it and repeated the pledge at campaign rallies． When pressed on the proposal by ABC News， he denied that the promise of this payment was meant to encourage voter turnout and claimed that the government would pay for it through economic ＂growth．＂
Appearing at a rally last week in Corpus Christi， Texas， the president urged his supporters to vote Republican up and down the ballot．
＂We＇re going to elect Republicans up and down the line，＂ he said． ＂We need that vote， otherwise， all of the great things we＇ve done are going to change very quickly．＂
