距离选举日还有不到一周的时间,一项新的民意调查显示,加州选民可能倾向于50号提案,这是一项投票措施,提出了一个重新绘制的国会地图,可能会使民主党获得五个众议院席位。
根据加州(PPIC)的一个公共研究所投票周三公布的数据显示,56%的加州潜在选民表示,他们将投票给Prop。50人在下周的特别选举中获胜,43%的人反对。
数字存在明显的党派差异,84%的民主党人支持投票措施,而89%的共和党人表示他们不会投票支持。PPIC发现,独立选民似乎倾向于左派,55%的人对这一提议表示肯定。
由加州州长加文·纽瑟姆和通过到8月份的州议会,拟议的地图可能会给民主党人带来机会,翻转共和党控制的五个席位。50号提案是对德克萨斯州十年中期重新划分选区的报复,在那里,支持共和党的地图通过成为法律可能会让共和党获得五个众议院席位。
美国人口普查后,国会选区通常每十年重划一次。
大多数选民也强调50号提案的重要性,68%的人说投票结果对他们“非常重要”,22%的人说“有点重要”。
被认为可能是2028年总统候选人的纽森已经支持50号提案是“反击”特朗普的机会,特朗普推动了德克萨斯州的重新划分努力,投票措施可以提高他的全国形象。
加州可能的选民在民意调查中大多支持纽森的领导力,55%的人表示他们认可他作为州长的整体表现。
杰出的政治人物与纽瑟姆联手,支持投票倡议,包括前总统巴拉克·奥巴马,他与州长一起支持这项措施。此外,纽约州众议员亚历山大·奥卡西奥·科尔特斯和马萨诸塞州众议员伊丽莎白·沃伦。,削减支持它的广告。
加利福尼亚是第一个加入选区重划之战的民主党州,与弗吉尼亚并列民主主义者跟风并宣布计划尝试重新绘制地图。周三,弗吉尼亚州众议院通过了一项法案根据美国广播公司的报道,宪法修正案要求重新绘制国会地图WRIC,该措施现在转移到州参议院审查。
继德克萨斯州之后,其他共和党控制的州也加入了进来也参加了重新划分选区的战斗——密苏里州和北卡罗来纳州采用了新的地图,而犹他州和印第安纳州正在重画他们的地图。
马里兰州和伊利诺伊州的一些民主党人呼吁他们的州重新划分选区,但并不是所有的领导人都同意。周三早些时候,马里兰州参议院选择“不推进”十年中期根据美国广播公司获得的一封信,重新划分选区。
据报道,周一提起的一项新诉讼试图重新绘制有利于民主党人的纽约国会地图,原告认为,目前的路线因歪曲黑人和拉丁美洲人的选票而违宪联合通讯社.
共和党控制的堪萨斯州和佛罗里达州的立法者也表示他们正在考虑十年中期重划选区。
Majority of California likely voters say they support Prop 50, poll shows
With less than a week until Election Day, a new poll shows that likely California voters favor Proposition 50, a ballot measure that puts forth a redrawn congressional map that could net Democrats five House seats.
According to a Public Institute of California (PPIC)pollpublished Wednesday, 56% of likely California voters say they will vote for Prop. 50 in the special election next week, and 43% are against it.
There are significant partisan differences in the numbers, with 84% of Democrats in support of the ballot measure, while 89% of Republicans say they will not vote for it. Independent voters appear to be leaning toward the left, with 55% responding affirmatively to the proposition, PPIC found.
Introduced by California Gov. Gavin Newsom andpassedby the state legislature in August, the proposed map could give Democrats the opportunity to flip five Republican-held seats. Prop 50 came in retaliation to Texas’ mid-decade redistricting, where Republican-friendly mapspassedinto law this summer could net the GOP five House seats.
Congressional district lines are normally redrawn each decade after the U.S. Census.
Most likely voters also stress the importance of Prop 50, with 68% saying the outcome of the ballot measure is “very important” to them, and 22% saying “somewhat important."
Newsom, considered a possible 2028 presidential candidate, haschampionedProp 50 as an opportunity to “fight back” against Trump, who pushed Texas’ redistricting efforts, and the ballot measure could raise his national profile.
California likely voters were mostly supportive of Newsom’s leadership in the poll, with 55% saying they approve of his overall performance as governor.
Prominent political figures have joined forces with Newsom and thrown their support behind the ballot initiative, including former President Barack Obama, who rallied alongside the governor to champion the measure. In addition, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., cutting ads in favor of it.
California was the first Democratic state to enter the redistricting battle, with VirginiaDemocratsfollowing suitlast week and announcing plans to attempt to redraw maps as well.On Wednesday, the Virginia House of Delegates passed aconstitutional amendment on redrawing congressional maps, according to ABC affiliateWRIC, and the measure now moves to state Senate review.
Following Texas, other Republican-controlled states havealsoentered the redistricting battle -- Missouri and North Carolina haveadopted new maps, while Utah and Indiana are in the process of redrawing theirs.
Some Democrats in Maryland and Illinois have called for their states to redistrict, but not all leaders have bought in. Earlier on Wednesday, the Maryland state Senate chose “not to move forward” with mid-decaderedistricting, according to a letter obtained by ABC News.
A new lawsuit filed Monday seeks to redraw New York's congressional maps in favor of Democrats, with plaintiffs arguing that the current lines are unconstitutional for misrepresenting Black and Latino votes, according toThe Associtated Press.
Legislators in Republican-controlled Kansas and Florida have also indicated that they are consideringmid-decade redistricting.





