随着经济学家指出特朗普减税是主要错误,2019财年美国联邦赤字达到9,840亿美元,比2018年增长26%。
根据财政部和管理与预算办公室的数据,美国的预算赤字自2015年以来已经翻了一倍多表现。飙升的984美元联邦赤字略低于特朗普政府此前预测的2019年1万亿美元,但这一数字仍比唐纳德·特朗普总统2017年减税和就业法案出台前国会预算办公室预测的高出约3000亿美元。
收入和支出之间不断扩大的差距在2019年达到了7年来的最大值,军费开支、外国利息支付和医疗保险在不断扩大的差距中首当其冲。
赤字约为3000亿美元,超出了CBO机构在2017年6月特朗普减税之前的预期。财政部报告称,2019财年的税收为2300亿美元,增长了12%。个人税收增加了2%,达到1.7万亿美元。截至9月底,联邦支出同比增长8%,达到4.4万亿美元,而收入总额为3.4万亿美元,增长4%。
美国失业率今年跌至1969年以来的最低点,CNBC也是如此著名的周五,传统上,在经济增长时期,赤字会缩小,特朗普政府本周很快指出了这一点。
“特朗普总统的经济议程正在发挥作用:美国正经历近50年来的最低失业率,需要填补的工作岗位比求职者多,美国人正经历逐年持续的工资增长,”美国财政部长史蒂文·穆努钦在周五表示压发布
美国联邦政府征收了大约710亿美元的关税和关税,比前一年增加了70%。
“由于本届政府颁布的促增长政策,美国各行各业的人又开始繁荣起来了,”代理OMB导演罗斯·沃特写道。“特朗普总统的议程将提供一条负责任的财政前进道路,并推行有利于增长的改革,从而使美国的经济扩张得以持续。这就是为什么总统的预算比历史上任何一届政府都包含了更多的赤字削减——在10年内节省了2.8万亿美元。”
CBO的预测显示,联邦政府在当前的2020财年达到了万亿美元的赤字水平。
周六早上,诺贝尔经济学奖得主和纽约时报专栏作家保罗·克鲁格曼张贴显示收入损失是赤字超调的主要来源的图表。“是减税,笨蛋,”他说。
亲特朗普的媒体名人比尔·米切尔回应经济学家指责特朗普减税,周六在推特上评论道,赤字“不是因为减税”...这是因为特朗普正在重建防御。”
特朗普政府长期以来坚持《减税和就业法案》将“自食其果”,但即使是起草税收计划的共和党人也对这种预测提出了质疑。众议院筹款委员会前共和党主席,共和党众议员凯文·布雷迪,讲述今年早些时候,彼得·G·彼得森基金会表示“很难知道”特朗普的减税政策将为自己支付多少比例。
在《减税和就业法案》通过之前,由国会委托的一个无党派财政组织——税收联合委员会预测,该法案将在十年内增加1.5万亿美元的联邦赤字。
2017年11月15日,星期三,华盛顿特区美国雕版印刷局,美国财政部长史蒂文·姆努钦(右)展示了一张2017年50主题的1美元纸币,上面印有他妻子露易丝·林顿的名字。参议院税收改革计划的一项改变,将扩大合伙企业、有限责任公司和其他所谓的“过渡”企业的临时所得税减免,今天赢得了一个全国性小企业集团的支持。
前美国劳工部长罗伯特·赖克评论上周,在回应美国国家广播公司关于莎莉·梅公司超支的报道时,“特朗普和共和党人如何能找到钱给公司和亿万富翁大规模减税,这很有趣,但在取消学生债务方面,这是一座太远的桥梁。”
U.S. DEFICIT SKYROCKETS 26 PERCENT SINCE 2018, ECONOMISTS BLAME TRUMP TAX CUTS FOR MASSIVE SPENDING GAP
With economists pointing towards the Trump tax cuts as a primary fault, the U.S. federal deficit for fiscal year 2019 hit $984 billion, a 26 percent increase from 2018.
The U.S. budget deficit has now more than doubled since 2015, as data from the Treasury Department and the Office of Management and Budget showed. The skyrocketing $984 federal deficit fell just shy of hitting the $1 trillion mark previously predicted for 2019 by the Trump administration, but this number is still about $300 billion more than the Congressional Budget Office predicted prior to President Donald Trump's 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
The expanding gap between revenues and spending hit its widest point in seven years in 2019, with military spending, foreign interest payments and Medicare accounting for the brunt of the widening divide.
The deficit is around $300 billion in excess of what the CBO agency projected it would be prior to the Trump tax cuts in June 2017. The Treasury Department reported tax revenues amounted to $230 billion for fiscal year 2019, a 12 percent increase. Individual tax revenues bumped up 2 percent to $1.7 trillion. Year-over-year federal spending increased 8 percent by the end of September to $4.4 trillion while receipts totaled $3.4 trillion, a 4 percent increase.
The U.S. unemployment rate this year fell to its lowest point since 1969, and as CNBC notedFriday, deficits traditionally shrink during times of economic growth, something the Trump administration was quick to point out this week.
"President Trump's economic agenda is working: the Nation is experiencing the lowest unemployment rate in nearly 50 years, there are more jobs to fill than there are job seekers, and Americans are experiencing sustained year-over-year wage increases," remarked U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin in a Friday press release.
The U.S. federal government collected about $71 billion in tariffs and customs duties, a 70 percent increase from the previous year.
"Americans from all walks of life are flourishing again thanks to pro-growth policies enacted by this Administration," wrote Acting OMB Director Russ Vought. "By providing a responsible fiscal path forward and pursuing pro-growth reforms, President Trump's agenda will make America's economic expansion enduring. That's why the President's Budget included more deficit reduction than any administration in history—saving $2.8 trillion over 10 years."
CBO projections show the federal government hitting the trillion-dollar deficit level in the current 2020 fiscal year.
Responding to the Treasury's spending report Saturday morning, Nobel Prize-winning economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman posted a graphic showing revenue loss as the primary source of the deficit overshoot. "It's the tax cuts, stupid," he remarked.
Pro-Trump media personality Bill Mitchell responded to economists blaming the Trump tax cuts, remarking on Twitter Saturday the deficit is "NOT because of tax cuts...It's because Trump is rebuilding defense."
The Trump administration has long insisted the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act will "pay for itself," but even Republicans who worked on drafting the tax plan have floated doubts about such predictions. The former Republican chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, Republican congressman Kevin Brady, told the Peter G. Peterson Foundation earlier this year that "it's hard to know" what percentage of the Trump tax cuts will pay for itself.
Prior to passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the Joint Committee on Taxation, a non-partisan fiscal group commissioned by Congress, predicted the legislation would add $1.5 trillion to the federal deficit over a decade.
Steven Mnuchin, U.S. Treasury secretary, right, displays a 2017 50 subject uncut sheet of $1 dollar notes bearing Mnuchin's name for his wife Louise Linton at the U.S. Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington, D.C., on Wednesday, Nov. 15, 2017. A change in the Senate tax-overhaul plan that would expand a temporary income-tax break for partnerships, limited liability companies and other so-called 'pass-through' businesses won the endorsement of a national small-business group today.
Former U.S. Labor Secretary Robert Reich remarked last week, in response to an NBC News report on Sallie Mae corporate overspending: "Funny how Trump and Republicans can find the money to give corporations and billionaires massive tax cuts, but when it comes to cancelling student debt, that's a bridge too far."